Middle East · resolved market
Foreign intervention in Gaza in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa410ffc18cb3b13a41625bca1081eeeaf84c09038b4d14c3a50faf20924a6d6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 30c | 5,205$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.23 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 79c | 4,910$3,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.39 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 9c | 4,873$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.94 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 14c | 3,954$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.81 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked No | 70c | 2,921$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.38 | 183 | 38.3%70 W · 113 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked No | 68c | 2,859$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.99 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 32c | 2,753$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.91 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 33c | 2,615$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.09 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…0fe5backed No | 71c | 2,387$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.97 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed Yes | 11c | 2,274$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.64 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdec8…2effbacked Yes | 31c | 1,647$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…8da0backed Yes | 26c | 1,521$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,518$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…b380backed Yes | 20c | 1,428$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.75 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…d76abacked No | 68c | 1,415$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 71c | 1,075$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.83 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 33c | 1,044$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.36 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed No | 69c | 999.99$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…2a87backed Yes | 10c | 881.45$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.52 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2b…b73abacked Yes | 19c | 656$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 63c | 650.16$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.36 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed Yes | 4c | 648$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfd…13ccbacked Yes | 41c | 615.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 67c | 554.97$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.14 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…509ebacked Yes | 36c | 553.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 70c | 550$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…a37abacked No | 69c | 540.85$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.66 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6df…cfa0backed Yes | 35c | 537.82$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.42 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2819…34fcbacked Yes | 10c | 522$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…87a4backed No | 68c | 500$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c62…3900backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…b5d8backed Yes | 33c | 491$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.03 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…ab69backed Yes | 11c | 482$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…4276backed No | 69c | 448.26$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 13c | 448$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c7…3ff0backed Yes | 34c | 444.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed Yes | 7c | 428$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 62c | 412.64$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 67c | 402.62$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 27c | 400$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed No | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 23c | 360$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed Yes | 7c | 348$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 79c | 345$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 4c | 322.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 133 | 2.3%3 W · 130 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 3c | 306.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41d…8fe1backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…5c80backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed No | 67c | 270$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3718…5289backed No | 75c | 266.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 5c | 257$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 19c | 256$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 291 | 29.9%87 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…283abacked Yes | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 32c | 250$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 7c | 235.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 243 | 8.2%20 W · 223 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf493…f4f6backed Yes | 26c | 235$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed Yes | 9c | 235$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 70c | 222$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…cda8backed Yes | 32c | 221.05$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 27c | 215.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec5…022bbacked No | 67c | 210.27$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 9c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…b2bfbacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8284…9693backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x429b…4b5dbacked Yes | 33c | 182.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked Yes | 9c | 182$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ed…28e1backed Yes | 8c | 179$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 69c | 174.34$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc97f…b64ebacked No | 65c | 169.76$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…b09dbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked Yes | 7c | 166$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…0e74backed Yes | 12c | 162.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…216bbacked No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 29c | 156.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed Yes | 8c | 153$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7c…56b0backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 30c | 139.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a6…86a7backed No | 80c | 132$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…5aa0backed Yes | 30c | 129.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 219 | 26.5%58 W · 161 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed Yes | 9c | 126$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed Yes | 18c | 120.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…0e38backed No | 70c | 115.01$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +229.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c22…50e1backed Yes | 9c | 115$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed No | 67c | 114.51$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 9c | 112$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xface…9d17backed Yes | 37c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 24c | 106.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked Yes | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21fe…da90backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…b071backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 179 | 34.6%62 W · 117 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.