Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b6133bf4987fd2b714b1296123faba31fd4a7ff8ffd47abc316e77d9bd2be97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $336,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $397,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $336,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked Yes | 65c | 35,000$22,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,100 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49a7…5f17backed No | 23c | 23,186$5,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,351.84 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…4393backed No | 21c | 11,754$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac80…97b1backed No | 37c | 11,531$4,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,235.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b8…83b9backed No | 33c | 10,673$3,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,544.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 64c | 8,161$5,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,951.58 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xffc3…8fffbacked No | 4c | 6,486$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 79c | 5,987$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.11 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 22c | 5,497$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.13 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…132dbacked Yes | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78f…8917backed No | 34c | 4,779$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af5…2470backed No | 16c | 3,808$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 16c | 3,361$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.22 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 18c | 3,248$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.55 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 28c | 2,891$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.54 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7c…ef52backed No | 10c | 2,776$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…baacbacked No | 22c | 2,719$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 22c | 2,560$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.87 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac8c…415cbacked No | 14c | 2,555$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 29c | 2,531$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf107…b9babacked No | 14c | 1,964$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.15 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 76c | 1,956$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.56 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036e…9276backed Yes | 72c | 1,836$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.05 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc1…0c67backed Yes | 64c | 1,725$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.73 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 12c | 1,569$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 72c | 1,565$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.85 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 71c | 1,434$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.82 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 71c | 1,175$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 75c | 1,117$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed No | 20c | 1,106$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.27 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed Yes | 72c | 1,077$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 73c | 990$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.62 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 14c | 968.8$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.63 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 25c | 949.94$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.65 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 7c | 852.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…610ebacked No | 12c | 837.73$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 13cpaid | +164.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…89b4backed No | 22c | 826.29$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…293abacked No | 25c | 823.06$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked No | 37c | 819$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 31c | 794.77$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.22 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed No | 28c | 736.11$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.11 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…e73bbacked No | 14c | 723.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4145…fc24backed No | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked No | 13c | 699.46$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.93 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 18c | 691.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.78 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 76c | 683.87$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 80c | 672.09$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.72 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…9d39backed No | 31c | 653.83$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.95 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 19c | 618$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.14 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 25c | 557$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.18 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 77c | 554.99$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.65 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 80c | 522$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.42 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -10.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -52%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 9c | 520.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 81 | 14.8%12 W · 69 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15c0…b18dbacked No | 20c | 508.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +103%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed No | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5117…49b3backed No | 18c | 500$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.27 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17bd…7afcbacked No | 35c | 472.65$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd3…d54abacked Yes | 68c | 467.84$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 22c | 415$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.47 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 28c | 395$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed No | 28c | 392$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.14 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 80c | 391.83$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.45 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x195d…1297backed No | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 17c | 344.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 17c | 334.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed No | 17c | 297$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked No | 28c | 253$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Yes | 80c | 250.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a4…c8a2backed Yes | 62c | 250.11$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbe…106bbacked Yes | 68c | 232.45$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…cde7backed Yes | 58c | 229.1$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3bd1backed No | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445a…9465backed Yes | 60c | 221$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.76 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 11c | 220.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae5…45e3backed No | 21c | 193.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…73cebacked Yes | 74c | 184.44$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…a10bbacked No | 23c | 170$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 78c | 164.35$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 15c | 164$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 12c | 161.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 15c | 159.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…672bbacked No | 12c | 155$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed No | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0804…049dbacked No | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked Yes | 78c | 129.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed No | 19c | 127.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…f779backed No | 14c | 124$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…24debacked Yes | 66c | 120.26$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…db37backed No | 30c | 118.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed Yes | 71c | 118$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45e…605fbacked Yes | 67c | 117.08$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f2…2cd0backed No | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked Yes | 70c | 114$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…8e81backed No | 16c | 112.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked No | 11c | 101.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?this page
- Will Zohran Mamdani win Brooklyn in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Yes won
- Will Zohran Mamdani win Manhattan in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Yes won
- Will Zohran Mamdani win Queens in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Yes won
- Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.