Earnings · resolved market
Will Constellation Brands (STZ) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdd616cb8e7dca0de4541be7476a6a6a7b6a007a3856bb07f6d4cc1a1b930367
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x663b…2308backed Yes | 64c | 4,967$3,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.97 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f3…c2c2backed No | 7c | 2,310$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed No | 34c | 2,225$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.89 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed No | 29c | 1,716$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.62 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 67c | 909.97$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.93 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 34c | 784.37$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 32c | 775.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.43 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…fb06backed Yes | 59c | 683.86$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.31 | 29 | 89.7%26 W · 3 L | +7.2wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfb…9762backed No | 36c | 655.56$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +114.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 65c | 650$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…1d71backed No | 42c | 604.42$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 69c | 600$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…aad8backed No | 36c | 589$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.57 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e3…5f31backed No | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff8…14efbacked Yes | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 34c | 492.92$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.7 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 35c | 437.5$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb071…e8f1backed No | 28c | 352.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 28c | 350.78$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…3aedbacked No | 35c | 340.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…12a9backed No | 26c | 335.77$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 69c | 334.64$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…ea33backed No | 33c | 326.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.86 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ee…f871backed No | 36c | 324.64$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 69c | 271.55$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.55 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -18.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 66c | 270$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 68c | 262.37$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.87 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 68c | 261.62$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.46 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked Yes | 64c | 260$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 48c | 238.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.94 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x233a…0858backed No | 35c | 230.62$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca4…6607backed No | 32c | 209.61$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…0b82backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked No | 35c | 199$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed No | 33c | 195.65$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 68c | 192.13$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…232bbacked No | 35c | 179.09$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0b…fb1abacked Yes | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a1…7cc7backed Yes | 63c | 158.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a69…228fbacked No | 36c | 152.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc60…3e66backed No | 33c | 152.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2945…862ebacked No | 37c | 151.84$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 29c | 151.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…fb5dbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…4529backed Yes | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 68c | 149$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6556…db73backed No | 37c | 148.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 30c | 141.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9915…3704backed Yes | 73c | 137.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…5f7fbacked Yes | 63c | 130.6$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x120d…710ebacked Yes | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…0cf5backed No | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed No | 34c | 117.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x451b…2b0abacked Yes | 68c | 113.24$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…bd8cbacked No | 35c | 107.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9a71backed Yes | 70c | 102.65$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 21 | 95.2%20 W · 1 L | +6.7wins | +0.32per pick | 63cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda92…e096backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ec…7e11backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbc…3b68backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…3655backed No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3356…b404backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…1bc2backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…842fbacked No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…9ae6backed Yes | 65c | 99.91$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…9e90backed No | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked No | 29c | 85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f81…e93fbacked Yes | 70c | 81.43$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…f0fdbacked Yes | 71c | 80.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…9ac0backed No | 40c | 77.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e50…948abacked No | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…1e6cbacked No | 36c | 72.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…d88cbacked No | 34c | 71.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…af06backed Yes | 74c | 71.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6274…79aebacked No | 39c | 70.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda76…bf0cbacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed Yes | 75c | 66.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed No | 32c | 62.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbab4…f99bbacked No | 33c | 61.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc5…b75cbacked No | 33c | 60.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed59…1afbbacked No | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 29c | 54.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Yes | 75c | 53.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 65c | 51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…12c3backed No | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df7…36cdbacked Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39ee…c018backed No | 32c | 49.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 27c | 47.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…1267backed Yes | 69c | 44.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c18…9ceabacked No | 37c | 43.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -91%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0a…fad8backed No | 41c | 40.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…800dbacked Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…623dbacked No | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.