Earnings · resolved market
Will McCormick & Company (MKC) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d3dfd3ff61891cb3e0bf490e0c4156966c84ecff10a1cc375a25cc4475ce33d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f4…12a9backed No | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…af06backed Yes | 76c | 1,711$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.26 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…9ae6backed Yes | 74c | 1,036$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.6 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed No | 9c | 844.02$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.08 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 23c | 816.16$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.03 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 627.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 79c | 399.98$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…fb06backed Yes | 75c | 366$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 29 | 89.7%26 W · 3 L | +7.2wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 26c | 317.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.02 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b2…49aabacked No | 10c | 273.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 72c | 247.44$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.43 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -18.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…0cf5backed No | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 9c | 213.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed No | 10c | 211.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked No | 28c | 208$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed No | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 9c | 186.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…d88cbacked No | 12c | 171.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed59…1afbbacked No | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba4…5b3ebacked Yes | 74c | 140.04$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 12c | 133.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f3…c2c2backed No | 11c | 128.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72c…653ebacked No | 15c | 103.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda92…e096backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…3655backed No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3356…b404backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95a1…7cc7backed No | 20c | 98.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…c5a2backed No | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe51e…1a85backed No | 25c | 74.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c18…9ceabacked No | 28c | 57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -91%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 74c | 54.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 26c | 44.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed No | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d3…ea7bbacked Yes | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…623dbacked Yes | 73c | 38.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…4f3ebacked Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…f086backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.