College Football · resolved market
Miami vs. Texas A&M: O/U 48.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ad632165f93369c27b87b20bb9ac5f8adf1e903bb67fba9122f06fac498cf29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 44,227$21,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,948.24 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 11,806$5,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,021.91 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 50c | 9,413$4,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,706.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,410 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 1,671$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.01 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 1,504$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.51 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 49c | 1,300$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2f…8a29backed Over | 2c | 1,054$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 51c | 1,034$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.48 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Under | 51c | 838.32$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.83 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…6282backed Under | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c9…cc4cbacked Over | 50c | 312$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 52c | 290$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Over | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Under | 51c | 193.71$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.92 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 172.6$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.52 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0299…fc44backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed Under | 52c | 94.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…bae8backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 51c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Over | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f89…f18bbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…c85dbacked Under | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…b91ebacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami vs. Texas A&M: O/U 48.5this page
- Miami vs. Texas A&MMiami won
- Miami vs. Texas A&M: O/U 47.5Under won
- Miami vs. Texas A&M: O/U 49.5Under won
- Miami vs. Texas A&M: O/U 50.5Under won
- O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Texas A&M (-3.5)Miami won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.