College Football · resolved market
Miami vs. Texas A&M: O/U 47.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e5066c59275e647a44855d05c73dc8607b9fab883a05b327896e429c6a358d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 1,923$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 1,633$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.38 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 1,246$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.92 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…d6abbacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…e4d2backed Under | 48c | 129.17$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…1c06backed Over | 52c | 96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd167…4b25backed Under | 47c | 96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 46c | 82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Over | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Over | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7597…a162backed Over | 55c | 25.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Under | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami vs. Texas A&M: O/U 47.5this page
- Miami vs. Texas A&MMiami won
- Miami vs. Texas A&M: O/U 48.5Under won
- Miami vs. Texas A&M: O/U 49.5Under won
- Miami vs. Texas A&M: O/U 50.5Under won
- O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Texas A&M (-3.5)Miami won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.