MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x354d8c4c874112a84de1f49efad83c9da2785310511155b38700a5873ddc8ed9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof Philadelphia Phillies, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $818,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $810,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $818,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 488 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 347,471$194,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194,583.66 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 197,916$87,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,267.81 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 100,000$44,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,000 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 57,863$26,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,690.9 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 28,213$14,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,564.62 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 24,321$10,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,619.65 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 20,418$9,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,671.43 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 10,523$5,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,451.8 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 10,465$4,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,755.62 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 9,960$5,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,079.51 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…5177backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 9,273$4,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,814.38 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 8,737$3,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,892.78 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Francisco Giants | 54c | 8,311$4,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,861.59 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 7,906$4,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,782.9 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 7,836$3,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,388.18 | 324 | 51.9%168 W · 156 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 6,683$3,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,085.67 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 6,638$3,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,589.2 | 452 | 53.8%243 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 6,236$3,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.45 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2d…8622backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 6,192$3,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,405.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c0…25b8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 6,157$3,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…3bb2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 6,157$3,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386.15 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4f…3216backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 6,129$3,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,371.18 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 6,073$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,340.41 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…476cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 5,926$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,259.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.99 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 4,531$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.09 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4b24backed Philadelphia Phillies | 13c | 4,437$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 4,271$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.33 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 4,259$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.91 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 4,089$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.91 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…df7cbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 3,908$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 3,845$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.55 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 3,783$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.51 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 3,764$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.9 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x302a…74e6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 3,538$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 3,471$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.81 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Francisco Giants | 74c | 3,430$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.33 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 3,424$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.36 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 3,125$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.54 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 2,947$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.49 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e2…42d9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 2,880$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Philadelphia Phillies | 1c | 2,870$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 2,806$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.43 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6596…e809backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 2,729$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad8…8a2cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 2,654$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.5 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 2,530$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.56 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 2,441$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.12 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 2,427$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.57 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 2,418$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 2,364$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.08 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 2,313$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.68 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 2,296$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.76 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 2,294$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.46 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…b908backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 2,292$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 2,176$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.79 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 2,083$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.39 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 2,002$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.33 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.99 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 1,946$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.82 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 1,946$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.3 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 1,935$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.01 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 1,919$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,909$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.29 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,906$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.09 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 1,901$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.7 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 1,893$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.29 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…0546backed Philadelphia Phillies | 9c | 1,857$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 1,836$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.04 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 1,776$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.07 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 1,769$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973 | 234 | 57.7%135 W · 99 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…0162backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,739$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.6 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 1,722$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.97 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 1,646$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.26 | 881 | 53.7%473 W · 408 L | +40.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…629abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 1,643$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.95 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 1,637$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.84 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Philadelphia Phillies | 13c | 1,600$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.86 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,584$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.28 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,582$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.97 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,547$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.01 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 1,529$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.54 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…3140backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 1,428$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,394$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.8 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,394$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.72 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,391$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.88 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 1,360$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.2 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 1,343$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.12 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 1,337$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.71 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 1,245$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.39 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 1,214$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.95 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 1,173$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.48 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,159$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.44 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…9133backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 1,140$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.56 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 1,108$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.02 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…68fbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 1,090$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.63 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…a36abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 1,020$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 999.23$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.58 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 981.95$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.82 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giantsthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 3.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 4.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.