Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x594bd84db23f246a51e08c72e9e4dee471dc7fb34b6aaa1dd395d8a1cf077888

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Connecticut Huskiesof Michigan Wolverines, Connecticut Huskies
Resolved: Apr 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,728,086
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,725,525

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,728,086 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 421 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Connecticut Huskies	49c	810,546$397,168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$413,378.45	359	45.1%162 W · 197 L	-24.4wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Michigan Wolverines	51c	492,584$250,594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250,594.17	462	46.5%215 W · 247 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Connecticut Huskies	48c	210,113$101,513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108,600.13	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Michigan Wolverines	51c	179,985$91,792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91,792.31	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Connecticut Huskies	50c	174,600$87,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87,300	243	51.4%125 W · 118 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Michigan Wolverines	51c	150,000$76,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76,499.98	82	46.3%38 W · 44 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Michigan Wolverines	52c	129,597$67,331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67,331.29	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Michigan Wolverines	51c	53,806$27,441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,440.83	199	50.3%100 W · 99 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed8…4388backed Michigan Wolverines	52c	49,483$25,731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,731.19	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Michigan Wolverines	50c	42,562$21,281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,280.86	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Connecticut Huskies	48c	40,000$19,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,799.99	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Connecticut Huskies	48c	35,835$17,212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,622.69	841	47.4%399 W · 442 L	-13.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ab4…8a00backed Michigan Wolverines	0c	31,962$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Michigan Wolverines	50c	30,000$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,000	81	45.7%37 W · 44 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Michigan Wolverines	52c	28,165$14,646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,645.7	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Michigan Wolverines	52c	27,503$14,295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,295.37	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	-5.0wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xccc1…889dbacked Michigan Wolverines	52c	25,984$13,512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,511.93	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Michigan Wolverines	52c	21,203$10,981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,981.41	1,511	47.8%722 W · 789 L	-35.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Connecticut Huskies	49c	19,785$9,689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,095.54	199	58.3%116 W · 83 L	+15.7wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Michigan Wolverines	51c	18,000$9,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,180	148	54.1%80 W · 68 L	+7.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Michigan Wolverines	51c	16,756$8,546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,545.76	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Michigan Wolverines	51c	15,900$8,109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,108.97	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Michigan Wolverines	51c	12,000$6,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,120	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-5.6wins	-0.21per pick	50cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Michigan Wolverines	51c	11,335$5,803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,802.71	1,910	49.6%947 W · 963 L	+30.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Michigan Wolverines	52c	11,204$5,826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,826.23	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-2.8wins	-0.13per pick	32cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x71e1…45f0backed Michigan Wolverines	49c	11,204$5,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,490.38	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Michigan Wolverines	51c	11,000$5,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,610	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Michigan Wolverines	51c	9,970$5,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,084.46	250	43.2%108 W · 142 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Michigan Wolverines	51c	9,827$5,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,011.89	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Michigan Wolverines	51c	9,628$4,872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,872.01	740	51.5%381 W · 359 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Connecticut Huskies	48c	8,053$3,865 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,187.47	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Michigan Wolverines	52c	7,964$4,139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,139.19	92	50%46 W · 46 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cb3…8ed1backed Connecticut Huskies	49c	7,756$3,820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,936.33	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.27per pick	56cpaid	+50.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Michigan Wolverines	51c	6,089$3,107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,107.04	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39eb…0e4cbacked Connecticut Huskies	49c	5,979$2,958 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,021.31	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Michigan Wolverines	44c	5,903$2,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,570.04	3,380	49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L	+30.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Michigan Wolverines	51c	5,824$2,970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,970.04	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Connecticut Huskies	50c	5,820$2,910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,910	278	51.1%142 W · 136 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Michigan Wolverines	50c	5,140$2,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,569.9	170	50.6%86 W · 84 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Connecticut Huskies	47c	4,467$2,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,356.56	343	43.4%149 W · 194 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Michigan Wolverines	51c	4,000$2,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,049.99	2,687	48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Connecticut Huskies	47c	3,886$1,826 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,059.45	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Michigan Wolverines	51c	3,882$1,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,980.02	107	39.3%42 W · 65 L	-8.5wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-17%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1a9…4090backed Connecticut Huskies	50c	3,878$1,939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,939.03	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+46.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked Michigan Wolverines	55c	3,765$2,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,060.31	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Michigan Wolverines	52c	3,735$1,942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,942.4	155	57.4%89 W · 66 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Michigan Wolverines	51c	3,616$1,844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,844.14	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-8.1wins	-0.28per pick	45cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Connecticut Huskies	48c	3,391$1,627 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,763.63	51	31.4%16 W · 35 L	-8.7wins	-0.17per pick	48cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Connecticut Huskies	48c	3,242$1,563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,679.31	127	49.6%63 W · 64 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b41…cadabacked Michigan Wolverines	52c	3,096$1,596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,596.2	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…7752backed Connecticut Huskies	48c	3,000$1,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,570	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69dc…0cf5backed Connecticut Huskies	48c	3,000$1,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,569.98	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Michigan Wolverines	51c	2,940$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.55	351	47.6%167 W · 184 L	-9.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Michigan Wolverines	51c	2,912$1,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,485.02	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Connecticut Huskies	48c	2,500$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,299.99	244	51.2%125 W · 119 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ac…1eebbacked Michigan Wolverines	51c	2,474$1,262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,261.78	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+104.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b01…dee1backed Michigan Wolverines	52c	2,428$1,263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,262.56	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb655…8ceabacked Michigan Wolverines	51c	2,338$1,193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,192.55	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1c1…5e0cbacked Michigan Wolverines	51c	2,335$1,191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,190.81	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Michigan Wolverines	52c	2,017$1,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,048.9	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Michigan Wolverines	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	98	39.8%39 W · 59 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Michigan Wolverines	51c	1,941$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990.01	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf595…bfb5backed Connecticut Huskies	49c	1,939$950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$988.79	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.13per pick	27cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Michigan Wolverines	49c	1,939$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950.01	285	39.6%113 W · 172 L	-14.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Michigan Wolverines	36c	1,894$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680.54	87	54%47 W · 40 L	+6.2wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Michigan Wolverines	52c	1,868$971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$971.2	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Connecticut Huskies	41c	1,864$759 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,105.58	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Michigan Wolverines	53c	1,834$972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$971.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x882a…682bbacked Connecticut Huskies	57c	1,829$1,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$791.29	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+76.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Connecticut Huskies	55c	1,760$961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$798.67	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Connecticut Huskies	47c	1,756$825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$930.45	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Michigan Wolverines	49c	1,755$862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$861.56	196	41.8%82 W · 114 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01a5…312ebacked Michigan Wolverines	57c	1,705$974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$974.29	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.21per pick	54cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Michigan Wolverines	58c	1,603$927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$927.4	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Connecticut Huskies	48c	1,582$759 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$822.67	505	48.9%247 W · 258 L	+13.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Connecticut Huskies	57c	1,574$895 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$679.21	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+75.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Michigan Wolverines	51c	1,456$743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$742.51	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8c6…de1bbacked Michigan Wolverines	54c	1,440$778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bd0…59b9backed Michigan Wolverines	51c	1,432$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$730.13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Connecticut Huskies	48c	1,312$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$686.83	1,152	48.9%563 W · 589 L	+3.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Connecticut Huskies	49c	1,278$626 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$651.77	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0715…c2d3backed Michigan Wolverines	52c	1,230$639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.47	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef3…50a5backed Connecticut Huskies	49c	1,032$506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$526.38	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Michigan Wolverines	50c	1,017$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.5	176	43.8%77 W · 99 L	-8.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Michigan Wolverines	52c	1,000$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516.7	59	33.9%20 W · 39 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Connecticut Huskies	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Connecticut Huskies	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	141	51.1%72 W · 69 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x217e…3a4cbacked Michigan Wolverines	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb64f…0d2abacked Michigan Wolverines	59c	1,000$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0437…30f4backed Connecticut Huskies	48c	1,000$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.16per pick	46cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8ad…c303backed Connecticut Huskies	48c	1,000$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Connecticut Huskies	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	422	46.2%195 W · 227 L	-9.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51b6backed Michigan Wolverines	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Connecticut Huskies	48c	999.98$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$519.99	83	50.6%42 W · 41 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63a7…3bb2backed Connecticut Huskies	49c	989.18$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504.48	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Michigan Wolverines	52c	971.2$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.02	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+18%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Michigan Wolverines	39c	963.4$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.73	147	28.6%42 W · 105 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Michigan Wolverines	51c	951.57$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.3	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-6.1wins	-0.26per pick	57cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Connecticut Huskies	53c	916.79$486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430.89	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Michigan Wolverines	52c	915.17$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.89	133	50.4%67 W · 66 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)this page
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan WolverinesMichigan Wolverines won
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 132.5Under won
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 135.5Under won
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 138.5Under won
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 141.5Under won
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5Under won
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 145.5Under won
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 146.5Under won
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-10.5)Connecticut Huskies won
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-4.5)Michigan Wolverines won
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-5.5)Michigan Wolverines won
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)Connecticut Huskies won
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-8.5)Connecticut Huskies won
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)Connecticut Huskies won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event