TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 146.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$417,995
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$415,524

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $417,995 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c338,133$175,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175,886.8635945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c151,302$73,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,242.7346246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under47c75,920$35,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,237.4217742.9%76 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Under47c71,282$33,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,779.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0008148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over52c18,826$9,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,720.5319958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under50c13,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,5002100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under52c11,002$5,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,28136944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,06017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Under58c5,996$3,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.674746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c5,792$3,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,906.685,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c5,507$2,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,834.251,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under47c5,000$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,64042246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over42c4,625$1,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,940.752846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.9624451.2%125 W · 119 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Under50c3,880$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,94027851.1%142 W · 136 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under48c2,969$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.3913936.7%51 W · 88 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Under53c2,951$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.225043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf638…aa50backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0201136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x079e…599dbacked Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-43.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f85…7e17backed Over52c1,401$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over51c1,199$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.68728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under49c1,187$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.3822250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over33c1,054$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.891250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over41c899.86$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.944944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over50c780.61$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.923441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under49c704.75$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.4274152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under46c622.97$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.489146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over43c492.14$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.188937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over47c412$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.641172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick63cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb225…d86bbacked Over51c392.05$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.943141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over50c337.29$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.377146.5%33 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under49c333$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.831637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeee6…cbfebacked Over10c299.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over48c290.66$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5292246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfdd…b1a1backed Over52c280.15$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Over45c255.58$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.281850%9 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed Under49c247.56$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.25683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+66.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb988…f50fbacked Over52c228.89$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Over48c207.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5240%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Over52c201.91$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.971060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Over48c181.65$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.197460.8%45 W · 29 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Under51c170.24$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.426016.7%10 W · 50 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c170$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.871,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over46c167.41$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.236251.6%32 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb49…a875backed Under50c164.9$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.454100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under48c163.39$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.9616650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under68c161.24$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.74742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under77c159.86$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.58246.3%38 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under77c159.76$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.477753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under47c152.48$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.821450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under77c149.89$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.953655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under48c149.61$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.812054.2%65 W · 55 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Under49c148.38$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.674151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under79c125.01$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.57425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-68.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Under78c124.12$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.461070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over52c112.43$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6518844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over49c106.97$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.011833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under77c102.37$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.171850%9 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Over48c100.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4127350.5%138 W · 135 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.47933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-46.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd747…ead8backed Under53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.093256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Under60c90.19$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.527646.1%35 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under77c89.41$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1411456.1%64 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under77c89.32$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.126459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Under68c88.89$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4416755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under48c86.71$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.092138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Over42c78.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.811668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2b2…2e80backed Over52c70.31$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.262142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Over52c70.28$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.554860.4%29 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over52c65.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.31258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Over42c63.68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.461060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Over34c62.01$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3140%0 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed Under57c59.7$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.581163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over44c56.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.981942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x686b…ca44backed Over51c53.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under47c49.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under54c45.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0222756.4%128 W · 99 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under72c44.59$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.431353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Under63c44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.28966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+53.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under47c43.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.964742.6%20 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under56c42.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.679056.7%51 W · 39 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+31.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Under52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.213147.3%62 W · 69 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1d1…6b2cbacked Over51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Under47c38.05$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.175743.9%25 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x933b…84abbacked Over52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ccb…604ebacked Over52c36.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.95475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under49c35.61$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1617551.4%90 W · 85 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Under48c33.92$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.645954.2%32 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Under58c33.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.87955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e4…f926backed Over50c32.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.01520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-68.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x68e7…0169backed Over52c29.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe97f…9337backed Over49c29.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.541241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd8b…ba7bbacked Over50c29.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under48c25.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.512254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over51c25.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.823767.6%25 W · 12 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under65c24.87$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.77749.4%38 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over52c23.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2410353.4%55 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85ad…d3fbbacked Over49c22.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d46…b09bbacked Under53c22.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.