TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,992
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,075

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,992 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x227e…e118backed Over69c10,482$7,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,187.77560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c9,806$4,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,712.591,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under34c5,598$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,708.5658248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Under54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3005646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Over68c4,501$3,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,061.571758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+45.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over67c4,162$2,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,788.541163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over46c3,483$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.0934342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over62c2,475$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.4730657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Under33c2,260$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.275066%33 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over60c1,702$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.9533851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under41c1,653$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.1637544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f05…4480backed Under56c1,576$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.53633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over25c1,562$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.4946048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under38c1,532$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.3539746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under31c1,500$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,03524327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b8…5cf9backed Over68c1,471$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+19.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Over71c1,269$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under38c1,150$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.941,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Over43c1,139$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.871258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Under35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.1312354.5%67 W · 56 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under40c946.52$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.294355.8%24 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Over68c882.35$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004238.1%16 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Under57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.192864.3%18 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over66c862$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.3638043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f8…09f7backed Under56c830.34$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.351478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.4wins+0.31per pick47cpaid+70.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over43c813$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.236633.3%22 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7413…e573backed Over62c810.81$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Under38c800$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4963351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Under31c777$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.1311950.4%60 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Under42c766.4$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.522934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe965…6559backed Under61c737.9$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Over46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcdb…461abacked Over52c591.15$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.41040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under48c571.29$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.0810744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Under46c504.66$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.662755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over55c501.4$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.634461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under33c500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33519344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3304568.9%31 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Under57c468$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.243452.9%18 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over60c449.09$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.495453.7%29 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under35c443.98$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.5918950.3%95 W · 94 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under32c431.71$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.4438343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over35c425.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked Under33c399.98$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.995040%20 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc317…4f97backed Over62c392.48$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.34771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under36c373.43$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.1720947.8%100 W · 109 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Under39c307.69$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.692944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Over62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1862748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Over56c299.99$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.998720.7%18 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over66c299.94$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9621354%115 W · 98 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under39c299.87$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.3721745.6%99 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over67c299.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d1…ad22backed Over45c277.78$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253933.3%13 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over66c237.8$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9512242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b97…cfc1backed Over65c223.24$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.921010%1 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick40cpaid-87.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Under33c216$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+65.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Over48c205.92$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.844334.9%15 W · 28 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+48.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1224353.5%23 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x215b…3e6cbacked Under32c199.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.993743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6916…6915backed Under35c190$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ca6…0d08backed Under56c182.51$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over71c176.27$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.449762.9%61 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006246.8%29 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1a6…c0fabacked Over64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0564…82fdbacked Over65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under32c152$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.363100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+102.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028540%114 W · 171 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1da…0370backed Over68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa047…f4c5backed Over65c111.85$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.71338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd22…7025backed Over68c110.29$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756756.7%38 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over48c103.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.52948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d33…e208backed Over45c102.22$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464850%24 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over49c101.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014145.4%64 W · 77 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x476b…30a0backed Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2b0…5cc1backed Over65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454535.6%16 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658354.2%45 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fb3…f152backed Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa50f…f999backed Under42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.244131.7%13 W · 28 L-8.3wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-35.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over55c91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.059653.1%51 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x381c…94e5backed Over65c90$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under33c89.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2813261.4%81 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Under34c88.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.242740.7%11 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+42.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0542…7d64backed Under51c86.78$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.521833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.9wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-41.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Over68c81.54$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.456030%18 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81b0…d27cbacked Under33c75.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.76977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+48.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe825…8fc8backed Over67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe382…7561backed Over67c74.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ad2…d17fbacked Over67c74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Over68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x881f…dfe9backed Over68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-68.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over65c72.37$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.043951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd84f…0475backed Over67c72$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33d…1969backed Over67c70$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Under42c63.13$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.623545.7%16 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+36.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda5c…ed5bbacked Over64c62.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x518b…cf8abacked Over65c61.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010647.2%50 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over62c60.69$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.632450%12 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.