Champions League · resolved market
FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedc1d2ad739ee0035e607e518541906626afbb5eac761358ad6129940a8cb525
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 21c | 4,514$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.44 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 77c | 3,537$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.42 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 27c | 2,226$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.92 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Over | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 18c | 999.97$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Under | 28c | 617.86$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Under | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 79c | 444.77$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.03 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 18c | 444$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…850bbacked Under | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 15c | 323.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 17c | 276.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 20c | 147$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 291 | 34.4%100 W · 191 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…b7fdbacked Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Under | 18c | 103.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Under | 21c | 94.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -8.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 17c | 94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under | 17c | 91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 16c | 71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 27c | 52.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed Over | 79c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Over | 78c | 36.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Over | 79c | 19.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…48bbbacked Over | 72c | 15.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Over | 78c | 14.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.