NFL · resolved market

LAR vs. Cardinals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf32f35850e555afdb655a8af329946a2dc04de3290999b0c14bbf7cb4123a160

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: LARof LAR, Cardinals
Resolved: Dec 7, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,068,989
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,375,348

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,068,989 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb744…5210backed Cardinals	20c	1,201,000$240,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240,199.94	170	41.8%71 W · 99 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Cardinals	20c	108,802$21,672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,672.36	168	36.9%62 W · 106 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked LAR	80c	100,000$80,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,000	246	52%128 W · 118 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed LAR	80c	100,000$80,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,000	249	57%142 W · 107 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Cardinals	13c	92,474$12,039 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,038.96	300	43.7%131 W · 169 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed LAR	79c	49,841$39,375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,466.66	93	59.1%55 W · 38 L	+10.2wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Cardinals	20c	42,638$8,528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,527.68	169	55%93 W · 76 L	+15.0wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed LAR	80c	40,000$32,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,000	136	54.4%74 W · 62 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed LAR	80c	35,293$28,234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,058.56	134	50%67 W · 67 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked LAR	80c	32,272$25,685 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,587.54	115	44.3%51 W · 64 L	-6.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed LAR	80c	30,950$24,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,190.08	141	54.6%77 W · 64 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Cardinals	21c	28,000$5,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,880	196	45.4%89 W · 107 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Cardinals	10c	26,257$2,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,624.97	200	26%52 W · 148 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed LAR	80c	26,250$21,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,250	43	65.1%28 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	68cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Cardinals	20c	25,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	143	42%60 W · 83 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f2…702cbacked LAR	79c	14,389$11,365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,023.41	93	59.1%55 W · 38 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	67cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed LAR	80c	13,250$10,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,650	274	54.7%150 W · 124 L	+13.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed LAR	80c	11,804$9,443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,360.87	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked LAR	80c	10,612$8,489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,122.31	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Cardinals	26c	10,282$2,633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,633	72	55.6%40 W · 32 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed LAR	79c	9,864$7,792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,071.66	240	53.8%129 W · 111 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Cardinals	2c	8,329$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.32	333	28.5%95 W · 238 L	+16.7wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Cardinals	0c	8,154$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.65	98	0%0 W · 98 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Cardinals	21c	8,020$1,645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,645	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	-5.7wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b4f…37b8backed LAR	80c	7,500$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-8.4wins	-0.29per pick	67cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	33-0.16 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Cardinals	20c	6,831$1,366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,366.2	318	54.7%174 W · 144 L	+16.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Cardinals	23c	6,700$1,514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,514.49	684	46.1%315 W · 369 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc5…5fcbbacked Cardinals	1c	6,111$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	+7.2wins	+0.11per pick	37cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Cardinals	21c	5,555$1,167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,166.55	240	56.7%136 W · 104 L	+19.3wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked LAR	80c	5,345$4,254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,090.51	1,196	49.9%597 W · 599 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked LAR	80c	5,250$4,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050	284	47.5%135 W · 149 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Cardinals	20c	5,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	232	44.4%103 W · 129 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Cardinals	20c	5,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	117	50.4%59 W · 58 L	+7.0wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed LAR	80c	4,496$3,597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$899.16	544	51.7%281 W · 263 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Cardinals	20c	4,057$810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$810.32	532	53%282 W · 250 L	+19.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed LAR	80c	4,000$3,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	34	70.6%24 W · 10 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	65cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31ac…392cbacked Cardinals	19c	4,000$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760	67	43.3%29 W · 38 L	+8.4wins	+0.13per pick	31cpaid	+39.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7bf4…8860backed Cardinals	21c	3,500$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	-7.5wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked LAR	80c	3,125$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625	63	39.7%25 W · 38 L	-5.9wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Cardinals	19c	2,884$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.95	736	51.2%377 W · 359 L	+25.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b48…050cbacked LAR	80c	2,600$2,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Cardinals	3c	2,277$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.23	148	6.8%10 W · 138 L	+6.7wins	+0.05per pick	2cpaid	+296.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbde…a758backed LAR	74c	2,271$1,681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$590.58	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+3.8wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xed7d…5852backed Cardinals	3c	2,260$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ab8…e88ebacked Cardinals	19c	2,211$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.15per pick	42cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked LAR	76c	2,200$1,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	362	46.7%169 W · 193 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Cardinals	7c	1,808$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Cardinals	21c	1,750$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.5	77	32.5%25 W · 52 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9e2…1c56backed LAR	78c	1,641$1,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.1	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cardinals	22c	1,561$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.32	273	48.7%133 W · 140 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed LAR	80c	1,500$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Cardinals	20c	1,500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	75	30.7%23 W · 52 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd63e…0d52backed LAR	80c	1,500$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	35	62.9%22 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Cardinals	21c	1,500$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	180	44.4%80 W · 100 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Cardinals	20c	1,500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	224	46.4%104 W · 120 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7060…37a2backed LAR	80c	1,374$1,099 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.86	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	70cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed Cardinals	25c	1,370$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.89	49	22.4%11 W · 38 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f7…c0cfbacked LAR	80c	1,366$1,093 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273.19	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	76cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked LAR	80c	1,335$1,068 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-5.8wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x54fd…82a5backed Cardinals	21c	1,333$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Cardinals	19c	1,290$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.24	477	38.6%184 W · 293 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf8…4899backed Cardinals	8c	1,286$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e4…f7febacked LAR	80c	1,250$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	62cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x810c…51cabacked LAR	80c	1,250$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	20	60%12 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	68cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Cardinals	1c	1,233$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.33	431	1.6%7 W · 424 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-82.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed LAR	80c	1,157$926 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.48	85	57.6%49 W · 36 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Cardinals	19c	1,053$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed LAR	78c	1,050$819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.09	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.14per pick	67cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4635…fad0backed Cardinals	15c	1,027$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Cardinals	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	89	21.3%19 W · 70 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cardinals	21c	1,000$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214	276	33.3%92 W · 184 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed LAR	78c	970.11$757 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.42	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Cardinals	20c	960$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	136	41.2%56 W · 80 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35de…b39abacked Cardinals	16c	900$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	201	43.3%87 W · 114 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed LAR	78c	840.25$658 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.35	310	56.8%176 W · 134 L	+16.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8a4…75c1backed LAR	72c	838.05$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.05	186	58.1%108 W · 78 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Cardinals	25c	800$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	105	55.2%58 W · 47 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Cardinals	20c	800$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked LAR	80c	792$634 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.4	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ce…d77dbacked LAR	80c	750.46$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.09	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	62cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cardinals	20c	741.75$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.35	111	46.8%52 W · 59 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Cardinals	19c	736.84$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	175	47.4%83 W · 92 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f6…eafebacked Cardinals	24c	734.09$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.77	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.7wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cardinals	11c	694.75$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.2	187	45.5%85 W · 102 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed LAR	79c	607$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.47	650	48.3%314 W · 336 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…1ed3backed Cardinals	22c	600$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked LAR	80c	504$403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.8	191	52.9%101 W · 90 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Cardinals	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	116	40.5%47 W · 69 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84e7…7d08backed LAR	78c	500$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	72cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc4d…f0b8backed LAR	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	134	48.5%65 W · 69 L	-9.4wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86ba…5f1fbacked Cardinals	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02ba…2652backed LAR	80c	476.01$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.2	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Cardinals	19c	419.61$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.01	145	32.4%47 W · 98 L	+8.5wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+77.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3597…bb13backed Cardinals	26c	384.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked LAR	78c	372.48$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.36	488	47.5%232 W · 256 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Cardinals	26c	361.54$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	205	42%86 W · 119 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7671…7244backed LAR	80c	329.29$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.86	35	62.9%22 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe176…9d7cbacked Cardinals	20c	308.87$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.7	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd976…7050backed Cardinals	26c	269.23$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7869…61d8backed LAR	75c	266.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	137	70.1%96 W · 41 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	65cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LAR vs. Cardinals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event