UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Brito vs. Thomson (Featherweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b588a69918e92bb3a246f3d9c21d0b474c55c3f0b2b4eb10023b5e887c51c5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Britoof Brito, Thomson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $241,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $310,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Brito | 77c | 59,998$46,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,499.85 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Brito | 69c | 48,709$33,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,099.93 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Thomson | 30c | 38,532$11,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,559.48 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Thomson | 31c | 21,994$6,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,818.14 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Thomson | 31c | 21,991$6,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,728.54 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Thomson | 12c | 14,798$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.48 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Thomson | 6c | 10,032$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.82 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Thomson | 35c | 8,688$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Thomson | 30c | 7,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -12.6wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Brito | 71c | 6,320$4,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.82 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Thomson | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Brito | 70c | 3,430$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Brito | 69c | 3,332$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Thomson | 29c | 2,946$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.67 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Brito | 67c | 2,636$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.75 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Thomson | 30c | 2,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Thomson | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.99 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Brito | 63c | 1,586$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.29 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Thomson | 30c | 1,465$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.38 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Thomson | 30c | 1,421$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.76 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Thomson | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Thomson | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +146%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Brito | 71c | 1,017$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.68 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Brito | 70c | 999.79$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.42 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Thomson | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Thomson | 3c | 956.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Thomson | 30c | 950$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Brito | 70c | 857.14$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1636…8c6abacked Thomson | 25c | 802.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…8257backed Thomson | 29c | 772.26$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Brito | 65c | 744.27$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.09 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Thomson | 11c | 737.5$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.13 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Thomson | 31c | 700$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Thomson | 30c | 628.08$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.42 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Thomson | 8c | 599.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Brito | 77c | 562.45$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.69 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Thomson | 31c | 555$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.05 | 242 | 56.2%136 W · 106 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Brito | 60c | 534.37$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.78 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Thomson | 30c | 462.46$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.74 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Thomson | 36c | 445.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Brito | 76c | 440.47$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.9 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf635…e876backed Brito | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…33bfbacked Brito | 71c | 408.59$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Brito | 66c | 400$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Brito | 68c | 373.06$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.06 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Brito | 68c | 363.44$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.3 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…930fbacked Brito | 70c | 332.86$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.86 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Thomson | 44c | 317.96$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.62 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Brito | 67c | 300$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Thomson | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Thomson | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Brito | 69c | 294.06$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.16 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Thomson | 29c | 290$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Brito | 64c | 280.42$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.95 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5344…c194backed Brito | 64c | 233.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.97 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…1bd1backed Thomson | 30c | 214.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.21 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Thomson | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Brito | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Brito | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Brito | 68c | 199.97$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Thomson | 29c | 196$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Thomson | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…3984backed Thomson | 32c | 178.13$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…0be8backed Thomson | 32c | 170$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Thomson | 30c | 161.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa26d…f990backed Thomson | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Thomson | 42c | 142$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Thomson | 33c | 130$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 167 | 36.5%61 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Brito | 50c | 126.6$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa753…5808backed Thomson | 41c | 126.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Brito | 70c | 123.03$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Thomson | 32c | 121.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Thomson | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Thomson | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…3c98backed Brito | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c45…47f1backed Thomson | 31c | 113.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 190 | 65.3%124 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Thomson | 43c | 104.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Brito | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Brito | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Brito | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f1…3dccbacked Brito | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Thomson | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Thomson | 35c | 85.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f2…7f2ebacked Brito | 69c | 83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Brito | 70c | 82.86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…950bbacked Thomson | 48c | 82.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…6f5ebacked Thomson | 31c | 80.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Thomson | 28c | 73.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…68e2backed Thomson | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…64eabacked Brito | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a8…0cecbacked Brito | 69c | 72.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc99d…5d6bbacked Brito | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…7582backed Brito | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c0…be1cbacked Brito | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Thomson | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Thomson | 32c | 61.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Thomson | 30c | 59.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…086cbacked Brito | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc57e…7486backed Brito | 70c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…a54cbacked Thomson | 32c | 50.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Brito vs. Thomson (Featherweight, Prelims)this page
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Joanderson Brito win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.