TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Washington Nationals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,815
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,255

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,815 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Los Angeles Dodgers52c2,484$1,285 inWon+$1,198.9312640.5%51 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Washington Nationals48c1,912$923 inLost-$923.41,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers35c549.6$190 inWon+$359.955847.7%266 W · 292 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Washington Nationals69c509$353 inLost-$352.535,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Los Angeles Dodgers39c385.86$149 inWon+$236.8449942.9%214 W · 285 L-31.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Washington Nationals49c362.2$178 inLost-$177.742,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9cb…bdcdbacked Washington Nationals78c357.28$278 inLost-$278.121526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-56.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals66c288.94$190 inLost-$1906,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals49c243.84$119 inLost-$119.486,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Los Angeles Dodgers37c189.87$70 inWon+$119.413946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers58c154.41$89 inWon+$65.269,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers51c146.54$75 inWon+$71.8111844.1%52 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Washington Nationals49c117.84$58 inLost-$57.742,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals67c101.91$68 inLost-$67.844,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers42c101.34$42 inWon+$58.8734145.2%154 W · 187 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Washington Nationals72c93.44$68 inLost-$67.6778146.4%362 W · 419 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe136…b79fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers35c87.06$31 inWon+$56.223253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Washington Nationals40c83.68$33 inLost-$33.473,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Washington Nationals52c71.35$37 inLost-$36.881,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Washington Nationals41c70.58$29 inLost-$28.9446659.7%278 W · 188 L+1.9wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Los Angeles Dodgers58c65.12$38 inWon+$27.359756.7%55 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9497…556fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers51c50.89$26 inWon+$24.941250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+53.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Washington Nationals51c42.71$22 inLost-$21.7847848.5%232 W · 246 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c39.24$20 inWon+$19.2338245.5%174 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50fd…ee77backed Washington Nationals50c38.8$19 inLost-$19.433051.8%171 W · 159 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68cc…e8c8backed Washington Nationals51c38.06$19 inLost-$19.4132647.9%156 W · 170 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e11…8b81backed Washington Nationals51c35.28$18 inLost-$17.99450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7810…b011backed Los Angeles Dodgers61c32.02$20 inWon+$12.496149.2%30 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Washington Nationals57c29.13$17 inLost-$16.7326553.2%141 W · 124 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Washington Nationals51c29.12$15 inLost-$14.8515648.7%76 W · 80 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Washington Nationals62c26.89$17 inLost-$16.72,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Washington Nationals51c26.64$14 inLost-$13.5989950.6%455 W · 444 L-24.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2000…2501backed Washington Nationals50c24$12 inLost-$12425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Washington Nationals76c23.4$18 inLost-$17.7966749.3%329 W · 338 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Washington Nationals75c14.42$11 inLost-$10.791,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.