TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,946
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,066

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,946 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7f5…c669backed Over52c12,268$6,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,947.1147953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over52c9,315$4,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,471.5436649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c7,866$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,750.451,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96061947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Under49c3,731$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,827.9716947.9%81 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over66c3,500$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.994852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under39c3,315$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.476,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under48c2,900$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39223351.1%119 W · 114 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under48c2,457$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.3441149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Under49c2,271$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.8712247.5%58 W · 64 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under54c2,259$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.830647.4%145 W · 161 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under48c2,222$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.5667250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under39c2,171$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.791,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9801,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under34c1,938$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.571,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under49c1,609$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.511,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c1,558$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.946,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd1…da99backed Under38c1,164$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.22616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over54c1,107$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.882,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Over55c1,070$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.633847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over52c1,036$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.2668053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c946.37$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.981,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e82…1d1ebacked Under49c869.67$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Under50c698.68$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.616048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa303…2991backed Under2c695.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.671338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Over62c499.99$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19018239.6%72 W · 110 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Over50c494.17$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.6739948.1%192 W · 207 L-1.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under48c485.66$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.1250153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under32c451.35$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.887050%35 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Under42c381.67$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4516453%87 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over63c378.04$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.465,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Over53c366.94$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.5811051.8%57 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under50c260.53$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2547350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf4…66bbbacked Under49c249.27$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.146253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under45c218.18$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.682,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked Over52c208$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8419951.8%103 W · 96 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5aa…0058backed Under38c202.69$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.022254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over53c194.36$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3559150.3%297 W · 294 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1880…a421backed Over53c181.52$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.323452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over52c165.41$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7628646.2%132 W · 154 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over56c135.85$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.379,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c133.62$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4767849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over52c129.73$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.271,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over52c129.73$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2794648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over52c129.73$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2739351.9%204 W · 189 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under48c125.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.392,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under48c115.16$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2825249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under48c101.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8314549%71 W · 74 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8f3…8279backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under49c96.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.51,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7fb…5623backed Over52c93.1$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.691560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdca…72c3backed Over52c93.1$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.691323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-52.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1fb1…8436backed Over52c92.84$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2727644.9%124 W · 152 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x483a…4fd0backed Over53c82.51$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.788051.3%41 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under51c71.8$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.341,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf2d…e660backed Over53c56.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.543158.1%18 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0857…5bedbacked Over53c55.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.857447.3%35 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under49c50.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7272648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under49c50.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.516440.6%26 W · 38 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4cb…a917backed Under49c49.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2420751.2%106 W · 101 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d5…a8dabacked Under49c49.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2420955.5%116 W · 93 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf21…2ed8backed Over52c46.39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.17153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over51c44.55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8311245.5%51 W · 61 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over51c44.55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.839255.4%51 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over51c44.55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8319452.6%102 W · 92 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over51c44.55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.839254.3%50 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30b9…9b83backed Under34c42.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.411526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-51.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over52c42.02$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.175967.8%40 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a27…2fdcbacked Over53c41.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6311649.1%57 W · 59 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over67c40.83$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.474957.1%28 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over50c38.39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0162554.2%339 W · 286 L+23.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under48c36.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6226151%133 W · 128 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under35c35.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4255847.7%266 W · 292 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Under49c35.83$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5621153.6%113 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x442e…a738backed Over53c34.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.388153.1%43 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.925452%132 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under42c29.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2426854.1%145 W · 123 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa002…24eebacked Under49c28.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.151540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe123…ed88backed Under48c28.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over69c26.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.181,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under48c25.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.22,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2000…2501backed Under48c24.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.79425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9a3…790fbacked Under48c24.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a98…639dbacked Over53c23.94$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3130960.2%186 W · 123 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.