Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Louisville Cardinals vs. SMU Mustangs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd81f8394038f87bbbd0fd00972df968df0253ee8a3bd897447a74d299c061f8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SMU Mustangsof Louisville Cardinals, SMU Mustangs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Louisville Cardinals | 54c | 9,156$4,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,912.18 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Louisville Cardinals | 30c | 9,040$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752.17 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked SMU Mustangs | 73c | 7,973$5,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.73 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked SMU Mustangs | 45c | 6,566$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,597.17 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed SMU Mustangs | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.99 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed SMU Mustangs | 44c | 5,363$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003.55 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed SMU Mustangs | 65c | 5,331$3,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.89 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Louisville Cardinals | 63c | 5,030$3,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,168.91 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked SMU Mustangs | 68c | 3,364$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.97 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Louisville Cardinals | 52c | 2,902$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.1 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked SMU Mustangs | 40c | 2,469$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.48 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed SMU Mustangs | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Louisville Cardinals | 52c | 1,834$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.78 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked SMU Mustangs | 37c | 1,766$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.45 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Louisville Cardinals | 51c | 1,678$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Louisville Cardinals | 63c | 1,527$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.7 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Louisville Cardinals | 61c | 1,417$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.93 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed SMU Mustangs | 48c | 1,371$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.57 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Louisville Cardinals | 71c | 1,298$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Louisville Cardinals | 6c | 1,262$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SMU Mustangs | 39c | 1,054$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.43 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Louisville Cardinals | 63c | 1,035$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.97 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked SMU Mustangs | 35c | 1,004$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.22 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Louisville Cardinals | 27c | 973$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.71 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed SMU Mustangs | 39c | 848$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.3 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 27c | 738.18$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.31 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Louisville Cardinals | 56c | 710$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.78 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed SMU Mustangs | 58c | 670.31$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.6 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked SMU Mustangs | 37c | 630$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.9 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Louisville Cardinals | 40c | 618.59$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.46 | 253 | 37.5%95 W · 158 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Louisville Cardinals | 54c | 597.73$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.24 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed SMU Mustangs | 35c | 585.47$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.56 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ec…2892backed Louisville Cardinals | 53c | 563.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Louisville Cardinals | 63c | 558$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.54 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed SMU Mustangs | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked SMU Mustangs | 51c | 502.64$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.29 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed SMU Mustangs | 48c | 500.48$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Louisville Cardinals | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed SMU Mustangs | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Louisville Cardinals | 57c | 478.13$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.49 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Louisville Cardinals | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed SMU Mustangs | 42c | 465.06$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.38 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Louisville Cardinals | 62c | 363.26$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.22 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d04…d4d9backed Louisville Cardinals | 71c | 350.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed SMU Mustangs | 41c | 317.06$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.13 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked SMU Mustangs | 60c | 310$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.36 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Louisville Cardinals | 70c | 301.01$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked SMU Mustangs | 37c | 300$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.34 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Louisville Cardinals | 21c | 297.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.12 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Louisville Cardinals | 57c | 283.29$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed SMU Mustangs | 36c | 277.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.28 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…eec3backed SMU Mustangs | 37c | 270$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Louisville Cardinals | 63c | 253.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked SMU Mustangs | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed SMU Mustangs | 39c | 247.53$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.29 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Louisville Cardinals | 64c | 226.63$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.84 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Louisville Cardinals | 32c | 218.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked SMU Mustangs | 46c | 216$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.31 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed SMU Mustangs | 39c | 212$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.32 | 221 | 57.9%128 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f6…d81abacked SMU Mustangs | 37c | 210.81$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Louisville Cardinals | 64c | 209.39$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Louisville Cardinals | 66c | 203.05$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…ed3abacked SMU Mustangs | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked SMU Mustangs | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…9cbdbacked Louisville Cardinals | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Louisville Cardinals | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…111bbacked SMU Mustangs | 37c | 180.22$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…1f1ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 69c | 173.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.97 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b1…3c7cbacked Louisville Cardinals | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed SMU Mustangs | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de3…5671backed SMU Mustangs | 64c | 160$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0b…13d6backed SMU Mustangs | 37c | 159.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Louisville Cardinals | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Louisville Cardinals | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Louisville Cardinals | 64c | 156.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa60…9b86backed Louisville Cardinals | 64c | 156.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 69.1%67 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked SMU Mustangs | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4d…6c41backed SMU Mustangs | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +144.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb5…c2adbacked Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked SMU Mustangs | 38c | 130.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.06 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x806d…f8c7backed Louisville Cardinals | 62c | 125$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Louisville Cardinals | 43c | 119.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked SMU Mustangs | 38c | 117.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Louisville Cardinals | 64c | 117.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Louisville Cardinals | 34c | 116.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa30f…b8aebacked Louisville Cardinals | 64c | 115.63$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked SMU Mustangs | 37c | 114.7$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.7 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed SMU Mustangs | 36c | 111$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.62 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f1…d717backed Louisville Cardinals | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed SMU Mustangs | 34c | 104.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked SMU Mustangs | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed SMU Mustangs | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed SMU Mustangs | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…424cbacked SMU Mustangs | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Louisville Cardinals | 64c | 93.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…6373backed SMU Mustangs | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35cb…045ebacked SMU Mustangs | 37c | 91.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed SMU Mustangs | 37c | 89.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked SMU Mustangs | 48c | 88.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Louisville Cardinals | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Louisville Cardinals vs. SMU Mustangsthis page
- Louisville Cardinals vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 166.5Over won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-3.5)SMU Mustangs won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-4.5)SMU Mustangs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.