Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaefa94466bb25aeae6b175b24a2370ab9bf04d41e005533c94c29b44d1c4377
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Carolina Tar Heelsof Louisville Cardinals, North Carolina Tar Heels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $355,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $370,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc5b…8ef3backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 33c | 44,949$14,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,048.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Louisville Cardinals | 67c | 40,000$26,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,800 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 37c | 27,313$10,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,078.38 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 42c | 18,623$7,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,772.49 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Louisville Cardinals | 67c | 17,766$11,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,858.34 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 63c | 14,971$9,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,431.96 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef45…1905backed Louisville Cardinals | 56c | 14,250$7,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,979.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Louisville Cardinals | 13c | 12,526$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.16 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Louisville Cardinals | 63c | 7,610$4,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,807.1 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Louisville Cardinals | 61c | 7,516$4,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,584.48 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 38c | 7,500$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,649.98 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x837c…5771backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 38c | 6,601$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,101.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 36c | 6,516$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,170.24 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 36c | 6,312$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,039.97 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Louisville Cardinals | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.99 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 61c | 5,811$3,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,529.04 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44f…8c20backed Louisville Cardinals | 53c | 5,672$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.57 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Louisville Cardinals | 55c | 5,473$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.67 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 44c | 4,533$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.07 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Louisville Cardinals | 52c | 4,433$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.45 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Louisville Cardinals | 22c | 4,221$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.94 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Louisville Cardinals | 38c | 4,049$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.02 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 43c | 3,500$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.9 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 36c | 3,057$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 56c | 2,888$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.22 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Louisville Cardinals | 35c | 2,771$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.48 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.58 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 61c | 2,606$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.43 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…4453backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 44c | 2,435$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…17bfbacked Louisville Cardinals | 56c | 2,431$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Louisville Cardinals | 1c | 2,303$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Louisville Cardinals | 62c | 2,110$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.18 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Louisville Cardinals | 59c | 1,919$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.46 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 40c | 1,914$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.15 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Louisville Cardinals | 60c | 1,879$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.5 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0a…c2c4backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 42c | 1,800$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Louisville Cardinals | 40c | 1,619$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.53 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Louisville Cardinals | 59c | 1,559$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.52 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 36c | 1,555$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3043…2cbbbacked Louisville Cardinals | 64c | 1,550$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 42c | 1,524$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.78 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 1,422$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.16 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 74c | 1,395$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.56 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Louisville Cardinals | 62c | 1,379$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.12 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 30c | 1,322$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.6 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Louisville Cardinals | 37c | 1,277$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.43 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 71c | 1,255$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.47 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Louisville Cardinals | 63c | 1,200$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 39c | 1,086$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.88 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Louisville Cardinals | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.78 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 41c | 1,067$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.37 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 41c | 1,058$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.99 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 39c | 1,048$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.02 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 76c | 1,045$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.98 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…0c27backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 47c | 1,006$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.06 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Louisville Cardinals | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4d…ae93backed Louisville Cardinals | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Louisville Cardinals | 17c | 994.03$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.98 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b00…03a9backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 31c | 969.87$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.92 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 37c | 958.87$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.74 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 39c | 935$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.98 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 38c | 921.05$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.05 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Louisville Cardinals | 54c | 897.13$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.73 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Louisville Cardinals | 58c | 894.4$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcd…7ab2backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 37c | 891.22$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.47 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Louisville Cardinals | 58c | 836.21$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 39c | 820.51$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.51 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 38c | 760.35$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.17 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Louisville Cardinals | 11c | 752.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.43 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Louisville Cardinals | 24c | 714.48$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Louisville Cardinals | 58c | 700$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf678…c57abacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 44c | 680$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…bd44backed Louisville Cardinals | 56c | 678$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…565dbacked Louisville Cardinals | 22c | 675.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cf…2061backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2de5backed Louisville Cardinals | 57c | 654.39$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Louisville Cardinals | 64c | 644.36$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Louisville Cardinals | 64c | 625$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 41c | 599.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Louisville Cardinals | 63c | 587$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.81 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…f93bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 33c | 580.41$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.49 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…2eefbacked Louisville Cardinals | 69c | 574.09$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.54 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Louisville Cardinals | 62c | 559.02$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.48 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Louisville Cardinals | 9c | 555.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Louisville Cardinals | 55c | 539.39$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.66 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Louisville Cardinals | 57c | 506.14$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 37c | 498.76$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.22 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…a78bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 39c | 482.05$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.05 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed Louisville Cardinals | 35c | 480.06$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.33 | 164 | 36%59 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Louisville Cardinals | 33c | 475.83$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Louisville Cardinals | 10c | 447.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…811ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 447.39$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.7 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…2beabacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 38c | 433.43$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Louisville Cardinals | 57c | 421.12$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.04 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsthis page
- Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 162.5Under won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 163.5Under won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-2.5)North Carolina Tar Heels won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-3.5)North Carolina Tar Heels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.