TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 162.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$191,079
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$191,542

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,079 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over50c9,444$4,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,762.641752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9a9…0b7bbacked Under51c5,591$2,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,766.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Under50c5,511$2,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,755.7544549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c37…fa71backed Under50c5,483$2,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,741.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b51…c354backed Over50c5,483$2,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,741.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c61…15dcbacked Over50c5,474$2,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,736.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9986…edffbacked Under50c5,421$2,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,710.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…0848backed Under50c5,277$2,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,638.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf38…b3a7backed Over50c5,275$2,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,637.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x343b…ba65backed Over50c5,220$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,609.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68f4…6045backed Under50c5,147$2,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,573.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6dd…1814backed Under50c5,021$2,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,510.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b8…4164backed Under50c4,976$2,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,487.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2126…db01backed Under50c4,929$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,464.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a6…4f3fbacked Under50c4,833$2,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,416.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a65…713fbacked Under50c4,787$2,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,393.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cd5…e2f5backed Under50c4,737$2,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,368.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x291d…d33ebacked Over50c4,676$2,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,337.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2793…e6b5backed Under51c4,511$2,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,217.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x121c…b866backed Over49c4,507$2,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,216.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3882…f811backed Over50c4,416$2,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,207.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0080…9f86backed Over50c4,395$2,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,197.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82d7…7766backed Under50c4,322$2,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,160.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd75…6016backed Under50c4,282$2,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,140.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd0a…0016backed Under51c4,251$2,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…a1d8backed Over50c4,250$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f10…c38abacked Under50c4,225$2,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,112.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff0a…26f7backed Under50c4,179$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,089.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3077…4e5dbacked Under51c4,135$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,026.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x899d…92b0backed Under50c4,127$2,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0de…3821backed Under50c4,127$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab84…f5dbbacked Under50c4,111$2,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6192…8293backed Under50c4,095$2,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,047.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62d0…238cbacked Under50c4,092$2,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb8…f96dbacked Under50c4,069$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,034.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x866c…8b9bbacked Under50c4,038$2,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,018.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac74…2d95backed Over50c4,030$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd9…a6c9backed Over50c4,010$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fda…2e78backed Under50c3,979$1,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,989.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1892…b7dcbacked Over50c3,946$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,97310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c12…af60backed Under51c3,884$1,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,906.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e72…4f85backed Over50c3,875$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f0…a6c4backed Over50c3,788$1,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe468…a078backed Over50c3,758$1,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,87910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0d2…6668backed Under51c3,750$1,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,837.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf240…d07abacked Over50c3,723$1,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,863.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…b6ccbacked Over50c3,700$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd96c…1e56backed Over50c3,665$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2362…0b6cbacked Under50c3,657$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,828.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…f6c1backed Under50c3,649$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,824.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…21a7backed Under51c3,645$1,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,795.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18f7…5f39backed Over49c3,628$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98cf…df20backed Under50c3,600$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ddf…f802backed Under50c3,580$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,790.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba65…b141backed Over50c3,568$1,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,784.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c92…0712backed Over49c3,532$1,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb2…baa9backed Under51c3,501$1,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd018…b762backed Over50c3,498$1,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4f2…cbc8backed Over50c3,406$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5470…6e43backed Over50c3,387$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd76f…83f8backed Over50c3,375$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe074…1359backed Over50c3,362$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31eb…cd40backed Over50c3,276$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,63810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5da1…60b6backed Over50c3,273$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0130…3ddcbacked Under51c3,270$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x823d…5ed5backed Under50c3,244$1,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x342d…e324backed Over49c3,238$1,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,586.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4f…aecbbacked Over49c3,226$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff06…48cebacked Over50c3,189$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4ee…aca7backed Under51c3,180$1,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,558.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8978…07b5backed Over50c3,166$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,58310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcff4…e471backed Over50c3,064$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d89…4c9fbacked Over50c3,050$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bb6…c827backed Over50c2,978$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc760…44bebacked Over49c2,970$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c75…2f0ebacked Over50c2,965$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…72c2backed Over50c2,953$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d2…35a5backed Over49c2,912$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda52…9495backed Under50c2,906$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b1…e33dbacked Under51c2,887$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3554…5f24backed Over50c2,881$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0d…78d3backed Over49c2,810$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d89…df7ebacked Under50c2,784$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7e1…4773backed Over49c2,774$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebb0…41c8backed Over49c2,764$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under50c2,754$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.8584147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e2c…d4fabacked Over49c2,676$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe906…28cdbacked Over50c2,668$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,33410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6820…2a2fbacked Over50c2,587$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0b4…32d1backed Over49c2,502$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ce…fa4bbacked Under50c2,450$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe5…e01abacked Over50c2,234$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under49c2,222$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.222,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c1,163$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.252,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under51c1,027$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.137550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Under52c953.14$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.5123941.4%99 W · 140 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c297.63$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Under51c198.71$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.371,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b70…3102backed Under52c187.22$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.869256.5%52 W · 40 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x345d…4e41backed Over51c171.76$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.64643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.