Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf5e54a2c1ce986dcb673f3432ead9893244972e14aecdb7de2f3d2579cdfe74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Carolina Tar Heelsof Louisville Cardinals, North Carolina Tar Heels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $478,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $500,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $478,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Louisville Cardinals | 58c | 381,290$220,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220,943.35 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 42c | 290,978$122,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168,767.4 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 42c | 32,500$13,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,849.94 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 43c | 21,082$9,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,016.64 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 42c | 18,888$7,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,955.02 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 42c | 17,610$7,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,213.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 47c | 10,253$4,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,469.08 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Louisville Cardinals | 57c | 8,578$4,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,886.16 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Louisville Cardinals | 52c | 7,821$4,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,063.88 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 7,163$3,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,724.76 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Louisville Cardinals | 53c | 6,310$3,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,327.72 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcd…7ab2backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 43c | 5,101$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.65 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 43c | 4,648$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.41 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de1…4947backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 52c | 4,047$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…b7e4backed Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 3,780$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 43c | 3,570$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.85 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Louisville Cardinals | 56c | 2,713$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.16 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 43c | 1,831$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.42 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 47c | 1,573$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.27 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Louisville Cardinals | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.97 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 44c | 1,190$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.2 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 1,062$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.17 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 43c | 1,022$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.99 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Louisville Cardinals | 51c | 979.91$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.63 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 44c | 961.63$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.52 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Louisville Cardinals | 57c | 884.35$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.08 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 45c | 846.49$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.76 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Louisville Cardinals | 52c | 692.58$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.74 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Louisville Cardinals | 58c | 512.83$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.44 | 188 | 46.8%88 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 499.98$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Louisville Cardinals | 53c | 495.64$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.69 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 44c | 450.63$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.35 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 404.05$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.52 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Louisville Cardinals | 56c | 354.06$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.28 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…b62cbacked Louisville Cardinals | 57c | 347.87$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.28 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Louisville Cardinals | 51c | 312.17$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.2 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x121c…b866backed Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 297.38$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 43c | 276.68$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.71 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 44c | 273.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb58a…71a1backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 44c | 249.87$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 43c | 236.62$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.87 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 44c | 225.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.18 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 44c | 225.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.18 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Louisville Cardinals | 56c | 221.46$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.02 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Louisville Cardinals | 56c | 217.1$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2464…d054backed Louisville Cardinals | 58c | 213.67$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Louisville Cardinals | 53c | 209.16$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…3a3fbacked Louisville Cardinals | 56c | 203.36$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3df…beefbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 51c | 201.27$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 43c | 198.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.02 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5426…bc07backed Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 198$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 47c | 189.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.84 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 43c | 160.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.06 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…674fbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 43c | 153.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.59 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…e183backed Louisville Cardinals | 57c | 148.71$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 43c | 148.71$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.77 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 142.85$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 44c | 141.1$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 44c | 136.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 46c | 130.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…c7aebacked Louisville Cardinals | 56c | 124.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Louisville Cardinals | 56c | 115.07$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32d…11f7backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 55c | 115.07$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +138.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…1da8backed Louisville Cardinals | 57c | 113.71$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 44c | 112.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.09 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 43c | 104.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.19 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Louisville Cardinals | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 47c | 99.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 44c | 99.14$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 44c | 99.14$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Louisville Cardinals | 52c | 99.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 46c | 94.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…8b83backed Louisville Cardinals | 58c | 94.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Louisville Cardinals | 57c | 86.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Louisville Cardinals | 54c | 84.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 44c | 81.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…5cd6backed Louisville Cardinals | 58c | 77.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Louisville Cardinals | 54c | 69.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…3b61backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 43c | 64.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Louisville Cardinals | 57c | 60.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 52c | 55.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Louisville Cardinals | 52c | 51.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 45c | 50.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Louisville Cardinals | 52c | 48.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…6562backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 44c | 48.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2535…2f8bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 42c | 47.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 53c | 47.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c82…dca9backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 50c | 47.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Louisville Cardinals | 57c | 45.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 44c | 44.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Louisville Cardinals | 56c | 44.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5e…d655backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 43c | 42.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Louisville Cardinals | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 42.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Louisville Cardinals | 53c | 39.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90de…e25ebacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…0482backed Louisville Cardinals | 57c | 37.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-2.5)this page
- Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina Tar Heels won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 162.5Under won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 163.5Under won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-3.5)North Carolina Tar Heels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.