TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Athletics vs. Texas Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Athleticsof Athletics, Texas Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$326,961
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$347,263

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $326,961 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Athletics49c84,376$41,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,09621040%84 W · 126 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Texas Rangers51c80,000$40,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,799.991346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…7404backed Athletics76c34,633$26,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,396.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Texas Rangers32c17,887$5,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,689.571,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Athletics49c13,849$6,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,062.7798349.8%490 W · 493 L-18.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Texas Rangers51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.9812457.3%71 W · 53 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers34c8,885$3,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,011.4311,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Texas Rangers21c7,359$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.758515.3%13 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda02…074ebacked Athletics49c5,856$2,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,986.54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Athletics67c5,839$3,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,904.82,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Texas Rangers28c5,075$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.29,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Athletics66c5,072$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.0312,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Texas Rangers13c4,987$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.591,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Texas Rangers53c4,799$2,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,531.7175248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Athletics66c4,759$3,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,626.0348850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers26c4,410$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.8910,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Athletics49c3,637$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.964,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Athletics76c2,977$2,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.712,14950.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics69c2,245$1,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.941,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics47c2,198$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.171,52751.1%780 W · 747 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Athletics46c2,104$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.924252.4%22 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Texas Rangers53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06027751.6%143 W · 134 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Texas Rangers54c1,976$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.2580159.2%474 W · 327 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb339…eccbbacked Texas Rangers52c1,870$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Texas Rangers30c1,687$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.411,15342.8%494 W · 659 L-37.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0140…9510backed Athletics64c1,529$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.355550.9%28 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2e0…4983backed Athletics77c1,279$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.7216543%71 W · 94 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Athletics62c1,236$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.56650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Athletics46c1,052$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.9418151.4%93 W · 88 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Texas Rangers54c1,026$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.83,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Athletics57c1,025$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.91,87452%975 W · 899 L+51.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x851c…dafdbacked Texas Rangers14c1,016$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.264528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Athletics42c1,004$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.916,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Texas Rangers14c1,003$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.231,19429%346 W · 848 L-0.9wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Athletics68c970.86$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.495,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics67c806.21$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.251,52059.1%899 W · 621 L+78.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Texas Rangers48c756.01$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.1755541.4%230 W · 325 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Athletics48c747.02$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.591,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Texas Rangers36c698.89$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.91,13942.7%486 W · 653 L+11.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers52c669.42$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.496,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Texas Rangers21c640.61$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.6370735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers30c615.05$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.398,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Texas Rangers52c582.72$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.014247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Texas Rangers32c578.15$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.160941.4%252 W · 357 L-22.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Texas Rangers35c566.94$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.835,14954.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L+231.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ef3…df7fbacked Texas Rangers33c565.44$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.5711725.6%30 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb60…137abacked Texas Rangers17c558.94$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.029435.1%33 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x817a…7e90backed Athletics72c542.47$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.891258.3%7 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.32per pick27cpaid+97.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Texas Rangers46c507.04$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.511,94753.1%1,033 W · 914 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Texas Rangers53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2652,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Texas Rangers22c497.66$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.233515.5%52 W · 283 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed Athletics49c494.59$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.2432742.2%138 W · 189 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Texas Rangers33c493.19$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.791,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Texas Rangers29c462.38$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.0926857.8%155 W · 113 L+26.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Texas Rangers51c457.25$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.21,30150.2%653 W · 648 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Texas Rangers29c413.87$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.191,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Athletics49c395.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.7911941.2%49 W · 70 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62c0…db73backed Athletics75c394.59$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.193256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Athletics74c366.17$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.4288046.4%408 W · 472 L-22.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92cd…9740backed Texas Rangers53c360$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.61450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Texas Rangers54c350$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18939850.3%200 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Texas Rangers51c316.65$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.491,40848.8%687 W · 721 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Texas Rangers31c310.93$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.392,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Athletics48c310.02$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.2111744.4%52 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa177…4b0dbacked Texas Rangers32c299.75$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9212132.2%39 W · 82 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed Texas Rangers16c296.75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.485149%25 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Athletics66c293.88$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9248354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb1…ec7cbacked Texas Rangers27c288.17$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0780%0 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22a7…c94bbacked Athletics63c288.13$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.611656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c67…1075backed Athletics75c265.95$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.495172.5%37 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Athletics75c263.13$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9941847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Texas Rangers38c253.2$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.136,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Texas Rangers43c247.29$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9590446.9%424 W · 480 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed Athletics80c247$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.415079.3%119 W · 31 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick72cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed Texas Rangers35c244.82$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8837941.2%156 W · 223 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Texas Rangers36c219.29$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6919934.2%68 W · 131 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Texas Rangers54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10835446%163 W · 191 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Athletics49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.966748.7%325 W · 342 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Athletics49c193.88$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.883,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Athletics49c193.88$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8822848.2%110 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Athletics49c193.88$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8811041.8%46 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Athletics47c193.58$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.578953.9%48 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55af…6a1bbacked Athletics46c193.52$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.536345.7%166 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Athletics65c190.35$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5351555%283 W · 232 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Athletics59c189.02$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8440348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Texas Rangers55c186.7$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9449649.8%247 W · 249 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Athletics46c178.8$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5522248.6%108 W · 114 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea0…865dbacked Texas Rangers54c167.47$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4316952.1%88 W · 81 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Texas Rangers39c164.34$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.841,14948.9%562 W · 587 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e3…b39ebacked Athletics61c160.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.441442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Athletics58c155.64$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4665651.2%336 W · 320 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fe1…9f94backed Athletics71c152$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.764963.3%31 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Athletics66c148.42$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4632266.5%214 W · 108 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Athletics70c142.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.851,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3427…0e1bbacked Athletics68c140.11$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.838856.8%50 W · 38 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-14.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Texas Rangers40c132.07$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8395555.2%527 W · 428 L+30.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Texas Rangers52c130.26$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1528244.7%126 W · 156 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3f2…d8b1backed Athletics76c127.53$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.61366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Texas Rangers35c124.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.739933.3%33 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Texas Rangers36c121.46$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9695041.5%394 W · 556 L-48.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.