MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0c5062672e9f25ddb49d62cbd7f127da8a1b564fd4d318163a459bb0ed0a2f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,399.95 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 53c | 37,842$20,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,044.66 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 51c | 13,506$6,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,888.01 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 9,444$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,194.44 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…12e9backed Under | 48c | 8,573$4,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,461.91 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a44…9cc6backed Over | 51c | 4,509$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 44c | 4,048$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.63 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Over | 51c | 3,808$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 2,478$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.13 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 49c | 2,222$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.22 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 46c | 1,829$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.59 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 34c | 1,705$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.33 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 48c | 1,264$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.89 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 1,171$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.82 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 1,123$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.63 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 45c | 1,000$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…a246backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x126d…f863backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 51c | 961.86$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.55 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under | 45c | 679.59$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.77 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 49c | 587.74$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.34 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 51c | 582.36$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.65 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 51c | 469.81$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.6 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 52c | 393.14$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.14 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 41c | 298.25$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.79 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 51c | 285.47$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 51c | 283.64$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.66 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 51c | 266.63$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.98 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 51c | 255.27$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.19 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 46c | 232.55$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.58 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 49c | 220.7$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.56 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 60c | 173.64$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over | 36c | 165.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -13.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 51c | 161.77$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.27 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…f814backed Under | 47c | 143.39$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 136.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 63c | 128.66$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 51c | 116.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf375…a60cbacked Under | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed Under | 47c | 61.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 51c | 57.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…3965backed Over | 53c | 56.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 48c | 49.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 47c | 48.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed Under | 50c | 48.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…54c2backed Over | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Over | 54c | 44.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Over | 60c | 43.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe127…82a2backed Over | 51c | 39.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 303 | 50.8%154 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba90…a450backed Over | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Over | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 51c | 35.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over | 47c | 29.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 43c | 27.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 43c | 27.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 51c | 25.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 51c | 24.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7a…f619backed Under | 50c | 23.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 60c | 19.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5this page
- Athletics vs. Texas RangersAthletics won
- Athletics vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.