MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26c24c7039d2e17b8c707bf3c29dc2262da28a2cca98ae4adff5347c8bccd4d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof Kansas City Royals, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $443,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $527,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $443,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 57,309$23,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,132.33 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 56,111$32,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,566.52 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Kansas City Royals | 1c | 42,686$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.87 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 22,700$9,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,307.03 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Yankees | 65c | 16,702$10,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,861.92 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Yankees | 59c | 16,532$9,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,778.2 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…fd60backed New York Yankees | 59c | 13,143$7,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,388.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…ffcdbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 12,850$7,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,268.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ba…c5e6backed Kansas City Royals | 0c | 10,766$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4608…d049backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 10,588$4,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,446.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked New York Yankees | 58c | 10,402$6,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320.58 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 9,729$4,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,086.27 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 9,628$3,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,935.32 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees | 59c | 9,567$5,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,922.61 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Yankees | 58c | 9,400$5,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,948 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861a…1f15backed New York Yankees | 58c | 8,929$5,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750.27 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 8,573$3,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,575.72 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…ee1abacked New York Yankees | 59c | 7,079$4,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,902.28 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 6,828$4,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.4 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 5,827$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.26 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 29c | 4,558$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.28 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 74c | 4,474$3,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.79 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e11…6a5abacked Kansas City Royals | 0c | 3,975$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed New York Yankees | 59c | 3,789$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Kansas City Royals | 33c | 3,705$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.99 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed New York Yankees | 59c | 3,081$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.33 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 3,048$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.31 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…3411backed New York Yankees | 61c | 3,032$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees | 59c | 2,781$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.77 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 2,765$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 2,697$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.62 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 2,518$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.4 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked New York Yankees | 69c | 2,493$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.54 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 2,440$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.39 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…2b5dbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 2,289$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.99 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Kansas City Royals | 6c | 1,887$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.23 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 1,748$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.77 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed New York Yankees | 59c | 1,694$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.48 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Kansas City Royals | 8c | 1,637$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.49 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 1,611$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.48 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 1,535$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.88 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 1,482$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.21 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 1,381$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.15 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 1,039$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.25 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed New York Yankees | 58c | 1,020$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.4 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 973.81$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.26 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed New York Yankees | 58c | 862$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.04 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kansas City Royals | 6c | 827.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa589…96fcbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 824.93$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.47 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe488…f2c0backed New York Yankees | 60c | 813.33$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.33 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 19c | 758.54$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.21 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked New York Yankees | 59c | 677.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.91 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked New York Yankees | 80c | 669.57$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.15 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked New York Yankees | 59c | 661.29$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.13 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2430…4527backed New York Yankees | 59c | 661.29$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.13 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 656.83$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.3 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 636.42$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.93 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 622.61$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.57 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 617.43$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.15 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 613.04$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.86 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…8444backed Kansas City Royals | 12c | 573.54$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 559.97$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.99 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed New York Yankees | 58c | 500$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked New York Yankees | 59c | 495.97$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.35 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked New York Yankees | 59c | 495.97$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.35 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed New York Yankees | 59c | 495.97$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.35 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc494…543cbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 495.97$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.35 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 492.58$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.96 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed New York Yankees | 59c | 463.32$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.96 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 459.62$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.04 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed New York Yankees | 59c | 448.02$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.69 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 443.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 434.34$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.42 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9a…1ff9backed Kansas City Royals | 13c | 429.73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7996…bbcabacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 420.41$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed New York Yankees | 59c | 416.61$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.81 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 413.31$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.46 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 413.31$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed New York Yankees | 59c | 409.67$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.96 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…f555backed Kansas City Royals | 6c | 393.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 390.68$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.08 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed New York Yankees | 76c | 388.56$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 386.5$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.26 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked New York Yankees | 70c | 379.97$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 374.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.49 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 369.14$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.35 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 362.92$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.42 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164d…50c0backed New York Yankees | 59c | 356.58$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Kansas City Royals | 21c | 351.95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 344.71$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.78 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 338.79$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.29 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b1…abb1backed Kansas City Royals | 7c | 335.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 31c | 333.78$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.25 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed New York Yankees | 59c | 330.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a6…eeb0backed New York Yankees | 59c | 330.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed New York Yankees | 59c | 330.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf95…7e16backed New York Yankees | 59c | 330.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 325.86$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.83 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.