TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x27ba…c5e6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.16
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.11
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.68
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.75
Athletics vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.22
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$26.65
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$15.93
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.47
Athletics vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$14.13
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.29
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.3
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11.33
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.47
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.47
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.98
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.76
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.58
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.36
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$36.96
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$13.58
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.97
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$26.01
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.84
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+26.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-52.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.4
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.96
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$90.61
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.49
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.39
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.97
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.