MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb5c7b49e2de533e43723526e03431744914fd85dcb36af8d9dabaf40c0911e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof Athletics, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $579,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $601,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $579,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 350 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…b8f7backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 45,363$27,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,634.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics | 37c | 34,409$12,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,742.71 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 32,032$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,032.01 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 45c | 27,924$12,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,446.72 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Athletics | 39c | 27,780$10,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,764.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Athletics | 57c | 25,000$14,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,249.97 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 21,000$8,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,312.89 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Athletics | 34c | 19,752$6,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,676.4 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 18,047$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,047.41 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics | 45c | 16,263$7,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,318.34 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Athletics | 43c | 16,179$6,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,962.14 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 12,075$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,075.32 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 55c | 11,024$6,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,103.23 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Athletics | 46c | 10,192$4,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,688.32 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.96 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 9,445$5,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,811.84 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…eda7backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 9,199$5,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,764.93 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.91 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…d5b9backed Athletics | 57c | 8,682$4,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,948.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics | 53c | 8,333$4,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,393.16 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Athletics | 42c | 7,775$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…08a8backed Athletics | 6c | 7,059$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Athletics | 40c | 6,540$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.58 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 6,006$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,505.64 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…41f3backed Athletics | 46c | 5,430$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 5,046$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.91 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Athletics | 33c | 4,765$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.53 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics | 46c | 4,732$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.76 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked San Diego Padres | 78c | 4,074$3,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.78 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Athletics | 38c | 3,947$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 3,710$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.17 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Athletics | 30c | 3,427$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Athletics | 45c | 3,349$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Athletics | 45c | 3,340$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.93 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Athletics | 46c | 3,100$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426 | 454 | 51.3%233 W · 221 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Athletics | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.95 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Athletics | 46c | 2,990$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.15 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…89a4backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.78 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 2,569$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Athletics | 44c | 2,503$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.52 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 2,410$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.1 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…1fcabacked Athletics | 45c | 2,400$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked San Diego Padres | 73c | 2,347$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.76 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 2,324$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.91 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Athletics | 58c | 1,991$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.57 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics | 38c | 1,890$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.85 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Athletics | 23c | 1,868$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.78 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 1,842$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.16 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 45c | 1,832$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.7 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…d3fcbacked Athletics | 44c | 1,784$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 1,696$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.43 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 1,690$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.88 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4399…2bd0backed Athletics | 44c | 1,661$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89da…a6c2backed Athletics | 44c | 1,629$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5d…615abacked Athletics | 46c | 1,613$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Athletics | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Athletics | 60c | 1,486$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.26 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 1,476$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.72 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…3079backed Athletics | 45c | 1,430$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Athletics | 38c | 1,427$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.08 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 1,287$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.49 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 1,233$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.96 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…5228backed San Diego Padres | 63c | 1,155$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.39 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Athletics | 44c | 1,150$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.05 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 1,101$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.65 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Athletics | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.02 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Athletics | 42c | 1,050$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.98 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 1,039$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.19 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Athletics | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.04 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 180 | 67.8%122 W · 58 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Athletics | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Athletics | 54c | 999.99$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.93 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 985$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.21 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 887.56$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.65 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Athletics | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Athletics | 44c | 845.13$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.86 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Athletics | 56c | 830.88$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 42c | 828.68$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.47 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 827.38$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.47 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 769.17$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.51 | 247 | 39.3%97 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 766.99$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.27 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Athletics | 46c | 759.52$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.43 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…909dbacked Athletics | 46c | 713.04$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Athletics | 43c | 708.3$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.69 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Athletics | 43c | 705.05$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Athletics | 2c | 700$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 699$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.53 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…f0c7backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 691.12$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Athletics | 47c | 679.89$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.37 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 650$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Athletics | 45c | 619.64$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.84 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Athletics | 44c | 614.56$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.82 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Athletics | 58c | 589.29$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.79 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 562$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.58 | 451 | 59.2%267 W · 184 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Under won
- Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 11.5Under won
- Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Over won
- Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Over won
- Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. San Diego PadresYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.