MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10e693ca28ace267e80ae0ca076391a62fa857ef2ea043cb6026557e47be770b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Baltimore Orioles, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $354,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $372,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27ba…c5e6backed Baltimore Orioles | 0c | 31,473$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 20,600$9,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,682 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 14,679$7,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,898.98 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 13,506$7,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,212.56 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 12,538$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.69 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 10,822$5,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,191.57 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 9,000$4,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,230 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cleveland Guardians | 79c | 7,989$6,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.11 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 7,746$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640.43 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 6,750$3,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,172.42 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Baltimore Orioles | 12c | 6,571$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.55 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 12c | 5,962$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.45 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Baltimore Orioles | 10c | 5,950$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.97 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 5,640$3,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,594.36 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 80c | 5,228$4,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.25 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 5,187$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.92 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…8e5abacked Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 4,998$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 4,347$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.62 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 18c | 4,095$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.62 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 3,708$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.71 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 3,624$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.3 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 3,007$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.63 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 2,897$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.76 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Baltimore Orioles | 21c | 2,881$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.95 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 73c | 2,704$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.15 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 2,648$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.13 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 2,564$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 73c | 2,258$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.65 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 79c | 2,226$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.49 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Baltimore Orioles | 7c | 2,190$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.65 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 2,005$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.09 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Baltimore Orioles | 7c | 1,917$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.18 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,860$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.17 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874f…a13dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,858$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.13 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,760$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.2 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,742$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.31 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,606$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.59 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Cleveland Guardians | 79c | 1,372$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.84 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 1,337$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.65 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 1,244$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.52 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,211$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.22 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 72c | 1,162$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.2 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Baltimore Orioles | 15c | 1,145$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.55 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 1,103$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.93 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,020$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.4 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 14c | 964.47$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.7 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 951.29$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.08 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 881.56$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.03 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 852.36$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.33 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 822.43$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.12 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…629abacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 791.49$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.77 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 8c | 758.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.13 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 756.82$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.51 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Baltimore Orioles | 14c | 703.13$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.05 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Baltimore Orioles | 24c | 651.72$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.41 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 78c | 610.25$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.05 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 590.88$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.09 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…ed5fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 587.92$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.32 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Baltimore Orioles | 19c | 567.45$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.51 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 533.41$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.04 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…7d88backed Baltimore Orioles | 14c | 522.59$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 518.77$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.63 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 513.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 473.52$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.31 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 470.89$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.71 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 462.34$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.68 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 72c | 445.98$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.75 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Baltimore Orioles | 23c | 417.4$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.37 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 412.14$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 396.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 386.8$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.06 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…6a46backed Baltimore Orioles | 14c | 361.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 358.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.13 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 321.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 21c | 320.17$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 315.03$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.87 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 309$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.23 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 304.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.29 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.41 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 282.55$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.8 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…7adebacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 278.91$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.09 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 273.05$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.78 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 270.11$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 260$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 247.66$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.87 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 246$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Cleveland Guardians | 72c | 230.03$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.06 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44e7…19a8backed Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 219.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Baltimore Orioles | 18c | 211.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 209.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 207.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 207.51$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.42 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…0c2fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 203.49$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 202.93$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.15 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 202.89$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 11.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.