Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0116eca70c05363c322fda4cb3aa8e4745dfcf235087667a1d8b775bbe8c3c01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aryna Sabalenkaof Aryna Sabalenka, Peyton Stearns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $648,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $725,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $648,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Peyton Stearns | 7c | 84,612$5,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,866.86 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8213…083bbacked Peyton Stearns | 8c | 57,807$4,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,723.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Peyton Stearns | 4c | 30,072$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.61 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Peyton Stearns | 8c | 28,111$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.16 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Peyton Stearns | 4c | 16,728$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.78 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Peyton Stearns | 4c | 16,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Peyton Stearns | 9c | 13,806$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.68 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Peyton Stearns | 5c | 11,501$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.04 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Peyton Stearns | 5c | 10,829$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.47 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Peyton Stearns | 4c | 10,352$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.08 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Peyton Stearns | 6c | 9,128$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.48 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Peyton Stearns | 9c | 8,971$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.77 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…b7e9backed Peyton Stearns | 5c | 8,121$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.06 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Peyton Stearns | 7c | 7,340$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.93 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Peyton Stearns | 4c | 6,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Peyton Stearns | 11c | 5,656$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.5 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Peyton Stearns | 6c | 5,414$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.93 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Peyton Stearns | 4c | 5,031$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.23 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Peyton Stearns | 1c | 3,923$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Peyton Stearns | 6c | 3,458$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.96 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Peyton Stearns | 4c | 3,245$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.24 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Peyton Stearns | 4c | 3,081$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Peyton Stearns | 11c | 3,044$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.65 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0239…6e89backed Peyton Stearns | 9c | 2,395$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.15 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Peyton Stearns | 5c | 2,307$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.36 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Peyton Stearns | 10c | 2,150$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.4 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Peyton Stearns | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Peyton Stearns | 5c | 1,925$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Peyton Stearns | 6c | 1,887$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.23 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Peyton Stearns | 6c | 1,887$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.23 | 52 | 5.8%3 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Peyton Stearns | 16c | 1,729$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Peyton Stearns | 12c | 1,601$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.86 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…3733backed Peyton Stearns | 10c | 1,548$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.67 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Peyton Stearns | 11c | 1,468$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.79 | 380 | 13.9%53 W · 327 L | -38.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Peyton Stearns | 5c | 1,442$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 278 | 36.7%102 W · 176 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Peyton Stearns | 6c | 1,296$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Peyton Stearns | 15c | 1,210$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.5 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -11.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Peyton Stearns | 10c | 1,122$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.55 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Peyton Stearns | 5c | 1,037$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Peyton Stearns | 13c | 1,008$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 398 | 45.5%181 W · 217 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…bb58backed Peyton Stearns | 5c | 943$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Peyton Stearns | 6c | 932.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbea…d783backed Peyton Stearns | 6c | 883.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Peyton Stearns | 4c | 871.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Peyton Stearns | 5c | 824.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 336 | 47.3%159 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Peyton Stearns | 5c | 809.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 370 | 58.6%217 W · 153 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked Peyton Stearns | 6c | 786.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Peyton Stearns | 6c | 780.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa39…e4afbacked Peyton Stearns | 5c | 770.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Peyton Stearns | 11c | 749.09$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.92 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0295…ed9dbacked Peyton Stearns | 8c | 745.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Peyton Stearns | 7c | 741.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Peyton Stearns | 6c | 727$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 278 | 46%128 W · 150 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Peyton Stearns | 5c | 707.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe516…14ffbacked Peyton Stearns | 6c | 633.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Peyton Stearns | 14c | 614.05$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.35 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c38…91b7backed Peyton Stearns | 12c | 601.28$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Peyton Stearns | 10c | 586.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Peyton Stearns | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Peyton Stearns | 5c | 499.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63e8…1ea1backed Peyton Stearns | 5c | 499.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Peyton Stearns | 5c | 480.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542b…8aa7backed Peyton Stearns | 6c | 466.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -74%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Peyton Stearns | 6c | 444$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Peyton Stearns | 16c | 441.54$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Peyton Stearns | 5c | 377.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Peyton Stearns | 11c | 355.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Peyton Stearns | 6c | 347.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -11.2wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Peyton Stearns | 6c | 347.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Peyton Stearns | 5c | 326.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Peyton Stearns | 5c | 320.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…dd7dbacked Peyton Stearns | 6c | 314.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Peyton Stearns | 14c | 311.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Peyton Stearns | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,077 | 52.4%564 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde64…7a05backed Peyton Stearns | 16c | 294.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…5034backed Peyton Stearns | 5c | 290.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Peyton Stearns | 10c | 283.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Peyton Stearns | 6c | 276.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0664…f7f0backed Peyton Stearns | 6c | 272.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Peyton Stearns | 7c | 269.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Peyton Stearns | 4c | 262.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Peyton Stearns | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…1327backed Peyton Stearns | 7c | 246.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Peyton Stearns | 6c | 245.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 362 | 44.8%162 W · 200 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8743…9591backed Peyton Stearns | 6c | 234.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe865…9925backed Peyton Stearns | 5c | 226.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35a7…c4eebacked Peyton Stearns | 13c | 218.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 203 | 38.4%78 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ba…c5e6backed Peyton Stearns | 5c | 213.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Peyton Stearns | 5c | 209.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Peyton Stearns | 12c | 205.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294d…520dbacked Peyton Stearns | 6c | 204.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…b692backed Peyton Stearns | 6c | 201.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf571…d2dcbacked Peyton Stearns | 5c | 196.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…17a6backed Peyton Stearns | 6c | 194.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Peyton Stearns | 8c | 188.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Peyton Stearns | 8c | 156.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc78…c479backed Peyton Stearns | 16c | 148.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Peyton Stearns | 15c | 136.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Peyton Stearns | 15c | 133.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa141…6744backed Peyton Stearns | 13c | 113.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearnsthis page
- Aryna Sabalenka vs. Peyton Stearns: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs StearnsSabalenka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.