MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7cdc6594b744b28c30886968031c97554cd6a5c7327ce61910b35d81c47c30b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Chicago Cubs, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $407,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $449,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $407,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 404 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 50,132$23,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,569.77 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 44,129$23,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,208.5 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 24,052$11,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,544.8 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 21,237$11,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,252.74 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 18,700$8,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,898.86 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 13,803$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.4 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Chicago Cubs | 22c | 10,536$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.67 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.94 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 9,404$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 8,747$4,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,635.81 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 8,571$4,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,628.34 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 8,331$4,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,495.57 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 8,297$5,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.98 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 6,400$3,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,224 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 5,999$2,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,224.44 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago Cubs | 23c | 5,248$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.83 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 38c | 4,944$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.59 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 4,386$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.66 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 4,304$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.01 | 323 | 51.7%167 W · 156 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 4,302$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.14 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 3,830$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.79 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 3,257$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.98 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 3,126$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.78 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 3,111$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.84 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 3,050$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.65 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 76c | 3,017$2,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.19 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 2,964$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.24 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…23adbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 2,922$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2578…b2a6backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 2,458$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…7c31backed Chicago Cubs | 12c | 2,417$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 2,407$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 2,337$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.3 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Chicago Cubs | 36c | 2,253$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.02 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,886$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.58 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 1,600$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.7 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Chicago Cubs | 2c | 1,590$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 1,558$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.5 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 1,515$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.96 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 1,508$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.57 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 1,500$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 1,379$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.83 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 1,324$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.23 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.6 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 1,226$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.7 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Chicago Cubs | 41c | 1,146$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.78 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…0121backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 1,116$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.44 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 1,110$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566 | 247 | 39.3%97 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,109$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.79 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 1,108$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.29 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Chicago Cubs | 32c | 1,100$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,082$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.32 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 1,065$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.43 | 142 | 61.3%87 W · 55 L | +18.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 1,005$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.78 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Chicago Cubs | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.65 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 951.96$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.87 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 947.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.38 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 75c | 920.58$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.9 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 897$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.47 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c3…eccfbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 864.98$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd559…ff47backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 830$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 28c | 827.07$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.73 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 800$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 734.7$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.7 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb620…5721backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 682.62$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 680$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.1 | 1,221 | 43.4%530 W · 691 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 652.94$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.13 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 605$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.7 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 599.98$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.49 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 579.59$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.08 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 564.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.34 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166c…bf05backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 559.97$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 509.43$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 500$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 479.05$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.6 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6654…2f15backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 441.19$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.19 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 440.43$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.43 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 440.2$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.09 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 419.97$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.89 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 414.7$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.59 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 412.62$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.41 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 75c | 399.99$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.29 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 396$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.88 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 382.98$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.98 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…571ebacked Chicago Cubs | 32c | 381.88$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 4.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.