MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf8a20565edd1c65ed541838e74274ab514f05228c4df1c1715edb8f9d83dd0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $468,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $491,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $468,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 380 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 75,433$41,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,091.72 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 40,816$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 33,333$16,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,333.16 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 27,471$12,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,815.66 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 25,806$13,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,935.48 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 18,958$9,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,099.66 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 18,731$5,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,918.62 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 14,047$4,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,905.3 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 13,553$7,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,234.35 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 13,500$7,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,479.97 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 11,340$5,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,556.6 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Philadelphia Phillies | 33c | 10,652$3,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,515.29 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 10,011$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,410.58 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.99 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.99 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 9,673$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,673.22 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 9,127$4,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,301.88 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 6,296$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.87 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 5,969$3,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.94 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 5,089$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.79 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 78c | 5,082$3,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.49 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 4,590$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.63 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 4,301$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.58 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 4,300$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 4,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.97 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff52…ca42backed Philadelphia Phillies | 6c | 3,597$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 3,565$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.21 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 3,472$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.72 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…23adbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 3,352$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 3,238$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.26 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cleveland Guardians | 73c | 3,193$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.94 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 2,853$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.85 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 2,644$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.8 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…6609backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 2,446$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 2,280$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.54 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 2,089$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.82 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 2,040$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.59 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 1,931$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.68 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ab…8cefbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,792$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.24 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 1,717$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.91 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…0b9bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 80c | 1,546$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 20c | 1,502$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.72 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bf…5c1bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,499$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.53 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 1,498$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.05 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.59 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc73…6cafbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,460$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.2 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 1,406$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.7 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,376$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.76 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9324…7fbdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,323$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.81 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 1,308$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.92 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 1,163$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.56 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 30c | 1,147$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.63 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,039$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.94 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…439cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 970.36$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.07 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…bf72backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 969.74$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.78 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 962.07$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.71 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 959.96$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.38 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Philadelphia Phillies | 5c | 950.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…834bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 900$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…e41bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 831.03$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.44 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 820$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 817.29$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.02 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 795.53$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.17 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…6875backed Cleveland Guardians | 74c | 750.49$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 119 | 48.7%58 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Cleveland Guardians | 73c | 694.72$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.92 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 523.2$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.6 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 519.41$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.47 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 511$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.57 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 500$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.29 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Philadelphia Phillies | 14c | 471.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 33c | 458.92$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.85 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 419.97$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.34 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 419.29$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.46 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 399.33$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.47 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 389.09$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.09 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 382.61$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.61 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 380$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 379.52$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.56 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 373.83$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.13 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 365$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.26 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 3.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.