MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9efd4d8fe6ee5a3ba66e9c0ef1051da15c6e5c77bf4e467f8f2ac3ebd4a7e531
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Minnesota Twins, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $575,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $582,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $575,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861a…1f15backed New York Mets | 60c | 175,686$105,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,411.51 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 57,664$23,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,598.14 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 40,472$16,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,282.97 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed New York Mets | 60c | 39,040$23,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,424 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 37,718$23,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,746.29 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Mets | 36c | 32,496$11,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,610.88 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 27,545$11,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,527.2 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 21,443$8,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,866.04 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 20,210$8,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,056.01 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed New York Mets | 61c | 20,000$12,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,199.98 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 14,852$6,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,639.95 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 12,667$5,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600.49 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked New York Mets | 60c | 12,049$7,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,229.23 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked New York Mets | 59c | 12,000$7,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,079.87 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 11,763$4,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,940.41 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 11,763$4,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,940.41 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets | 59c | 11,071$6,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,557.51 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 9,634$3,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,876.74 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Minnesota Twins | 62c | 5,663$3,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.87 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 5,120$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,106.81 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 4,941$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,013.71 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Mets | 66c | 4,873$3,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,203.02 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 4,328$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640.01 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…449bbacked New York Mets | 69c | 4,184$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,881.99 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 39c | 3,951$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.79 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Minnesota Twins | 14c | 3,257$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.48 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 3,198$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.27 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…4342backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 3,082$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.54 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 2,964$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.23 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed New York Mets | 60c | 2,928$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.8 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 2,857$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.05 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New York Mets | 59c | 2,723$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.74 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed New York Mets | 48c | 2,704$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.03 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 34c | 2,693$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.6 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed New York Mets | 11c | 2,484$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.61 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Twins | 62c | 2,453$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.19 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 2,412$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.79 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 2,345$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.92 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 2,249$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.57 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed New York Mets | 46c | 2,150$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New York Mets | 20c | 2,135$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.18 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 60c | 2,038$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.77 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 1,973$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.24 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked New York Mets | 62c | 1,860$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.38 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Mets | 60c | 1,781$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.78 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Twins | 80c | 1,744$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.37 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Minnesota Twins | 63c | 1,732$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.98 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked New York Mets | 61c | 1,691$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.44 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Twins | 64c | 1,646$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.47 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed New York Mets | 77c | 1,644$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.55 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 1,506$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.72 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed New York Mets | 24c | 1,433$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.14 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x271c…6a19backed New York Mets | 59c | 1,358$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Minnesota Twins | 8c | 1,299$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.17 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed New York Mets | 61c | 1,208$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.15 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed New York Mets | 65c | 1,179$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.99 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed New York Mets | 21c | 1,141$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.06 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 1,105$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.11 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5979…fc4fbacked New York Mets | 59c | 990$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins | 70c | 965.83$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.45 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 963.4$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.67 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Minnesota Twins | 23c | 947.01$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.44 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 941.07$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.23 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Minnesota Twins | 10c | 893.42$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.56 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked New York Mets | 22c | 866.68$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.88 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed New York Mets | 60c | 860.8$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.48 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 848.27$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.41 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed Minnesota Twins | 30c | 841.39$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.82 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 823.44$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.83 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked New York Mets | 9c | 787.83$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd1…cef5backed New York Mets | 61c | 781.28$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked New York Mets | 20c | 780.26$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.05 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Mets | 61c | 731.69$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.92 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 695.48$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.33 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed New York Mets | 59c | 695.38$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Minnesota Twins | 32c | 694.09$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.74 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…54c2backed Minnesota Twins | 19c | 668.38$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.19 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed New York Mets | 79c | 659.78$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.33 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed New York Mets | 21c | 621.01$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.83 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 617.56$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.71 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 616.58$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.11 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Minnesota Twins | 12c | 592$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.96 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4fcfbacked Minnesota Twins | 24c | 563.38$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.6 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Minnesota Twins | 22c | 562.13$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.46 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…8701backed Minnesota Twins | 76c | 530.04$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.79 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 503.14$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.62 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed New York Mets | 55c | 491.98$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.36 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Minnesota Twins | 10c | 486.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.53 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed New York Mets | 7c | 485.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 474.58$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c87…2917backed New York Mets | 6c | 471.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…403ebacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 470.54$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.62 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 470.54$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.62 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f26…fe92backed New York Mets | 64c | 458.63$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.52 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 445.03$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.57 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Minnesota Twins | 78c | 414.46$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.18 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked New York Mets | 68c | 408.99$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.43 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…076fbacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 399.96$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.97 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. New York MetsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.