MLB · resolved market

Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99c6eb9e70f77714fa949867afc7d168012f650d7fbd8e9467965f522e165e31

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cincinnati Redsof Cincinnati Reds, Tampa Bay Rays
Resolved: Apr 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $199,745
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $204,150

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,745 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Cincinnati Reds	47c	48,620$22,851 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,768.51	210	40%84 W · 126 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Tampa Bay Rays	53c	39,428$20,897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,896.8	865	48.7%421 W · 444 L	-8.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdfc…bf06backed Cincinnati Reds	48c	14,624$7,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,604.54	66	51.5%34 W · 32 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays	52c	12,000$6,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,239.99	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds	49c	11,473$5,634 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,838.67	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Tampa Bay Rays	52c	9,009$4,673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,672.56	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Tampa Bay Rays	52c	7,040$3,692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,692.13	1,029	51.2%527 W · 502 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Tampa Bay Rays	25c	6,029$1,491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,490.8	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Tampa Bay Rays	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd21…a494backed Tampa Bay Rays	52c	4,670$2,428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,428.3	111	46.8%52 W · 59 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cincinnati Reds	69c	3,841$2,662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,179.25	1,355	49.8%675 W · 680 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Tampa Bay Rays	26c	3,811$987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$986.88	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Cincinnati Reds	78c	3,338$2,601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$736.41	1,113	49%545 W · 568 L	+22.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays	8c	2,979$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.12	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99a7…fc82backed Tampa Bay Rays	52c	2,876$1,495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,495.38	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cincinnati Reds	78c	2,796$2,178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$617.68	2,389	43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Tampa Bay Rays	51c	2,422$1,243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,243.25	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Cincinnati Reds	48c	2,252$1,081 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,171.28	203	50.2%102 W · 101 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Cincinnati Reds	48c	2,040$989 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050.6	49	51%25 W · 24 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Tampa Bay Rays	32c	2,025$639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.37	488	50.2%245 W · 243 L	+5.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Tampa Bay Rays	7c	2,017$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.12	168	14.3%24 W · 144 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Tampa Bay Rays	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040	338	52.7%178 W · 160 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x674e…35e0backed Cincinnati Reds	47c	1,991$936 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,055.23	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aba…a21ebacked Tampa Bay Rays	53c	1,944$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030.11	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds	53c	1,905$1,015 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$890.1	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Cincinnati Reds	49c	1,500$735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$764.98	64	50%32 W · 32 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe153…6b4abacked Tampa Bay Rays	53c	1,361$721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$721.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Tampa Bay Rays	47c	1,289$604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$603.53	1,345	47.7%642 W · 703 L	+10.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Tampa Bay Rays	2c	1,287$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.24	1,180	7.2%85 W · 1,095 L	-13.6wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Cincinnati Reds	48c	1,223$587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$636.02	136	55.1%75 W · 61 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Tampa Bay Rays	22c	1,139$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.22	1,522	34.7%528 W · 994 L	+27.1wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Cincinnati Reds	48c	1,008$484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$523.93	280	49.6%139 W · 141 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f0e…ce42backed Cincinnati Reds	58c	1,005$583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$422.1	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	60cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Cincinnati Reds	48c	1,000$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$525	126	40.5%51 W · 75 L	-12.2wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-22%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Tampa Bay Rays	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	550	52.4%288 W · 262 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Cincinnati Reds	48c	1,000$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	92	62%57 W · 35 L	+8.9wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Tampa Bay Rays	52c	999.99$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Tampa Bay Rays	1c	999.98$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	90	21.1%19 W · 71 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Tampa Bay Rays	43c	991.14$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.99	58	62.1%36 W · 22 L	+7.0wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Cincinnati Reds	48c	968.8$465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$503.78	444	51.1%227 W · 217 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Tampa Bay Rays	39c	963.3$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.16	737	48.4%357 W · 380 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Cincinnati Reds	48c	908.25$436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$472.29	323	50.5%163 W · 160 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Cincinnati Reds	68c	797.28$544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.19	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Cincinnati Reds	77c	788.32$607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.31	2,147	50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L	+27.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Cincinnati Reds	66c	696.54$463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.68	1,141	42.9%490 W · 651 L	-37.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Cincinnati Reds	48c	625.84$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.44	467	49.5%231 W · 236 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Tampa Bay Rays	42c	619.7$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.17	181	49.2%89 W · 92 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Cincinnati Reds	48c	614.22$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.39	283	47.3%134 W · 149 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Cincinnati Reds	68c	603.91$411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.25	52	36.5%19 W · 33 L	-6.9wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb2bf…0b30backed Cincinnati Reds	49c	558.65$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.91	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Tampa Bay Rays	50c	553$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.5	273	51.3%140 W · 133 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Tampa Bay Rays	52c	552.03$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.06	282	44.7%126 W · 156 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Tampa Bay Rays	24c	538.16$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.44	158	40.5%64 W · 94 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Tampa Bay Rays	34c	523.76$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.48	1,137	42.6%484 W · 653 L	+10.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Tampa Bay Rays	28c	515.56$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.51	940	34.3%322 W · 618 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Tampa Bay Rays	41c	514.38$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.55	1,499	58.9%883 W · 616 L	+75.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed Cincinnati Reds	48c	504.58$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.38	327	42.2%138 W · 189 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Tampa Bay Rays	35c	500$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	192	48.4%93 W · 99 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Tampa Bay Rays	53c	492.85$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.21	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Cincinnati Reds	60c	492.37$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.13	508	60.2%306 W · 202 L	+29.7wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4720…007bbacked Cincinnati Reds	65c	489.5$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.32	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Cincinnati Reds	55c	486.5$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.92	801	59.2%474 W · 327 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf209…15b9backed Cincinnati Reds	48c	484.4$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.89	54	55.6%30 W · 24 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Tampa Bay Rays	50c	475.3$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.65	1,521	48.6%739 W · 782 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Cincinnati Reds	73c	473.37$344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.62	1,041	50.1%522 W · 519 L	+17.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays	37c	463.8$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.66	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Cincinnati Reds	48c	461.15$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.8	185	53%98 W · 87 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Cincinnati Reds	48c	460$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.34	2,296	49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L	+37.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds	47c	460$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.8	1,402	43.1%604 W · 798 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Tampa Bay Rays	52c	454.99$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.54	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Cincinnati Reds	48c	427.24$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.17	140	47.1%66 W · 74 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tampa Bay Rays	41c	413.31$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.11	650	50.3%327 W · 323 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b5c…e5aabacked Tampa Bay Rays	5c	396.06$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	50c	388$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194	208	48.1%100 W · 108 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Cincinnati Reds	48c	387.52$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.51	262	55.7%146 W · 116 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf08b…7e76backed Cincinnati Reds	77c	384.53$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.67	60	76.7%46 W · 14 L	+10.4wins	+0.17per pick	59cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x36e3…a998backed Tampa Bay Rays	51c	377.08$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.18	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds	78c	364.37$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.07	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Tampa Bay Rays	53c	358.59$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.05	406	45.1%183 W · 223 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Cincinnati Reds	47c	353.18$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.19	1,010	51.2%517 W · 493 L	+36.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Cincinnati Reds	46c	352.21$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.19	410	51.7%212 W · 198 L	+14.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Tampa Bay Rays	52c	350$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182	398	50.3%200 W · 198 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Cincinnati Reds	65c	322.09$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.73	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7202…e51abacked Tampa Bay Rays	54c	317$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.18	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Cincinnati Reds	48c	308.08$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.2	171	51.5%88 W · 83 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Cincinnati Reds	64c	307.37$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.73	812	57.3%465 W · 347 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Tampa Bay Rays	35c	301.46$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.63	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Tampa Bay Rays	53c	299.99$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159	1,483	50.2%745 W · 738 L	+5.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Cincinnati Reds	65c	292.96$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.91	6,303	48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L	+181.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Tampa Bay Rays	53c	291.54$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.52	591	50.3%297 W · 294 L	+9.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Cincinnati Reds	48c	285.8$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.61	203	51.7%105 W · 98 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57f3…4fcfbacked Tampa Bay Rays	53c	283.29$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.14	179	54.2%97 W · 82 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Tampa Bay Rays	54c	277.08$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.85	529	55.6%294 W · 235 L	+13.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Tampa Bay Rays	52c	270.21$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.44	1,119	45.5%509 W · 610 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	52c	266.93$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.69	1,456	42.7%622 W · 834 L	-39.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays	13c	253.87$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.23	609	41.4%252 W · 357 L	-22.4wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4523…7adebacked Cincinnati Reds	51c	251.39$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.18	114	48.2%55 W · 59 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Tampa Bay Rays	24c	250.63$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.19	352	40.3%142 W · 210 L	-23.5wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Tampa Bay Rays	51c	247.95$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.45	413	46.7%193 W · 220 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Cincinnati Reds	50c	243.47$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.74	267	51.7%138 W · 129 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event