TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Senators

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Senators
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$933,612
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$963,463

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $933,612 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 719 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1925…4654backed Hurricanes47c155,000$72,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,149.8311644.8%52 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Senators36c129,789$46,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,398.7416442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Hurricanes48c125,889$60,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,463.347545.3%34 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Senators52c74,121$38,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,534.0110545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Senators53c59,833$31,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,711.3620756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Hurricanes73c52,793$38,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,517.461,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Senators52c45,000$23,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,40026849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Senators52c39,999$20,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,799.6816656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Senators53c32,084$17,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,004.7751452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Hurricanes48c30,341$14,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,877.224161%25 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3ac…c991backed Hurricanes64c30,000$19,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,8002100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Senators27c22,867$6,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,182.317038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed Hurricanes65c22,453$14,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,948.313243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Senators52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,40012047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Senators52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,399.9356649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Senators53c18,598$9,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,857.022343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Hurricanes64c16,970$10,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,109.113841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Hurricanes73c14,304$10,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,913.5940356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Hurricanes61c13,961$8,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,482.4785250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Hurricanes47c13,000$6,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,889.9150049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Senators30c10,971$3,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,271.515448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2090…904cbacked Senators0c10,034$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Senators52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2001,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Hurricanes65c10,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.99714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick58cpaid-78%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Hurricanes49c9,134$4,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,658.594553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Hurricanes74c9,132$6,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,334.9418452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16d3…7c23backed Hurricanes65c9,086$5,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,180.13633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-52.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Senators52c8,335$4,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,334.1461959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Senators53c7,872$4,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,171.944555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Hurricanes48c7,750$3,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,030.2141842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Senators52c7,490$3,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,894.753554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Hurricanes48c7,064$3,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,673.3732151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd111…db0ebacked Senators53c6,358$3,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,369.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Senators52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,119.991,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Senators51c5,882$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.8252050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e3…d750backed Senators52c5,596$2,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,909.911942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Senators53c5,501$2,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,915.48946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Senators25c5,314$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.6589636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Senators52c5,277$2,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.3861950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Hurricanes47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.9229146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Hurricanes48c4,844$2,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,518.8810743%46 W · 61 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Senators53c4,815$2,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,552.0983149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Senators37c4,230$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.1675251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8504…88dcbacked Hurricanes48c4,037$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.071163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Hurricanes72c4,017$2,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.0637754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Hurricanes47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.869431.9%30 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Senators52c3,914$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.381,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb60…137abacked Senators35c3,794$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.143423.5%8 W · 26 L-6.2wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Senators53c3,664$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,941.762748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Hurricanes48c3,633$1,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.165446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Senators32c3,554$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.753,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Senators30c3,461$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.721,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf30…8b95backed Senators33c3,384$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.224443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ac…3f7cbacked Hurricanes47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5901866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Senators52c2,839$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.2151550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hurricanes48c2,729$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.731,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Senators36c2,322$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.712,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Senators53c2,158$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.827044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cc…0b39backed Hurricanes48c2,100$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.991050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa56f…ee5fbacked Hurricanes48c2,018$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.531877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+33.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Hurricanes48c2,018$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.5311151.4%57 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Senators52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.9926750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Senators52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.9720450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Hurricanes47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.7811153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Senators52c1,976$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.1910158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Senators27c1,964$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.4313333.1%44 W · 89 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Senators32c1,959$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.3314946.3%69 W · 80 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Senators49c1,952$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.8824837.9%94 W · 154 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Hurricanes50c1,940$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97018520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Hurricanes48c1,938$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.5589249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Hurricanes73c1,866$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.7933450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Hurricanes58c1,861$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.8333234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Hurricanes48c1,835$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.035662.5%35 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Senators53c1,834$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.810647.2%50 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Hurricanes47c1,788$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.6883652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Hurricanes50c1,787$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.0330259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Hurricanes73c1,509$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.639260.9%56 W · 36 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Hurricanes68c1,454$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.2211251.8%58 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Senators52c1,438$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.8239649.5%196 W · 200 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Senators53c1,375$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.852857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Hurricanes48c1,259$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.915947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Senators31c1,237$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.5310542.9%45 W · 60 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Senators52c1,186$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.6945955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Hurricanes64c1,100$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39626154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Senators18c1,094$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20042948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Hurricanes67c1,067$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.21070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+71%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Senators52c1,026$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.7554047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Hurricanes48c1,009$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.7715252%79 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Hurricanes48c1,009$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.775954.2%32 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b13…13edbacked Senators29c1,005$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.737126.8%19 W · 52 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Senators52c999.92$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.967354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Senators52c995.24$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.4714551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Hurricanes64c980.44$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.3813850.7%70 W · 68 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Senators52c947.16$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.7913952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Hurricanes50c925.49$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.4228340.3%114 W · 169 L-24.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Senators53c916.79$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.947256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x630e…3a86backed Hurricanes76c904.99$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.743158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Senators20c878.99$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.6629319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Senators52c799.22$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.622946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Hurricanes66c759.99$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.44339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.