NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf8bd490a58666b4f57b6672303b0a58a8e01d17f8ae891c43cb348797e960b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 55c | 6,970$3,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,833.32 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 45c | 6,596$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,627.56 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 4,081$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.91 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 55c | 1,014$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.63 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 963.85$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.91 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 53c | 879.97$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.99 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 47c | 671.61$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.14 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 54c | 613.47$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.14 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 55c | 596.45$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.05 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 45c | 587.44$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.09 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 46c | 351.1$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.6 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 46c | 346.31$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.4 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 54c | 299.41$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.68 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 54c | 299.18$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.56 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 49c | 271.41$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.66 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 45c | 244$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 46c | 241.9$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.63 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Under | 45c | 223$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 46c | 219.47$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 46c | 186.75$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 56c | 120.92$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f14…9fe8backed Under | 47c | 107.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Over | 54c | 106.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…a3f4backed Over | 54c | 106.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 45c | 106.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…1b45backed Under | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 55c | 100.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Over | 55c | 96.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 53c | 85.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Over | 61c | 85.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Under | 71c | 84.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -12.7wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 46c | 62.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Under | 73c | 49.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 46c | 48.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Under | 45c | 48.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…b9e9backed Over | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…a5e9backed Over | 55c | 43.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Under | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…293ebacked Under | 47c | 41.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…de2fbacked Under | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 40.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 46c | 38.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Over | 66c | 37.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 58c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Over | 54c | 35.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6b…1afbbacked Over | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60f4…312dbacked Over | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…4e69backed Under | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 52c | 31.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 51c | 29.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed0…39b6backed Over | 54c | 27.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Under | 45c | 26.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 54c | 24.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 65c | 24.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 79c | 19.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 57c | 17.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 5.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. SenatorsHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Senators won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.