NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34db773f2dda24b77dd95bde1b2aa4a0c2f81b40cc779c0c442aa0d6f5a1f7f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Hurricanes, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Senators | 79c | 925.95$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.95 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Hurricanes | 38c | 428.06$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.66 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hurricanes | 15c | 416.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…8b95backed Senators | 58c | 212.42$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Hurricanes | 41c | 186.64$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.62 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Hurricanes | 40c | 120.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Hurricanes | 26c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Senators | 60c | 54.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Senators | 60c | 54.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Senators | 60c | 54.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…8984backed Hurricanes | 48c | 46.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Hurricanes | 39c | 44.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Senators | 51c | 43.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hurricanes | 28c | 41.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Hurricanes | 51c | 38.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Senators | 73c | 29.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Senators | 76c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Senators | 52c | 25.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Senators | 58c | 24.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Senators | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.9wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked Senators | 73c | 14.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Hurricanes vs. SenatorsHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.