NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87dffbcdffa0d71135edf1e99cd89d87113bb4a8ade0b071406a281a92d4cfc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Under | 59c | 71,893$42,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,505.19 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 41c | 52,626$21,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,573.4 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 41c | 9,646$3,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,954.86 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.99 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 58c | 3,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.95 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 1,009$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.79 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 59c | 999.98$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Over | 43c | 539.05$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.79 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 41c | 525.67$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.63 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 41c | 504.49$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.89 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 42c | 459.62$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.04 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 42c | 459.62$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.04 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Over | 42c | 409.91$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.16 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 60c | 325.33$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.13 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Over | 41c | 310.22$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.19 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 24c | 299.45$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.88 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Under | 69c | 287.09$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.15 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 59c | 259.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 41c | 241.15$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.87 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 41c | 234.69$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 75c | 234.42$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 40c | 221.55$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.97 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 37c | 213.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.58 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Under | 59c | 204.83$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 40c | 191.75$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 43c | 179.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 58c | 146.87$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 41c | 141.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 41c | 141.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 60c | 137.35$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over | 41c | 118.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Over | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 41c | 96.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 41c | 92.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…bea0backed Over | 30c | 87.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed Over | 42c | 77.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed Under | 60c | 65.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…793bbacked Under | 60c | 64.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 41c | 61.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 42c | 59.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3081…d24abacked Over | 26c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 42c | 57.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Over | 42c | 56.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…970dbacked Over | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…0195backed Over | 41c | 55.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 27c | 55.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Over | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Over | 41c | 45.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 42c | 45.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Over | 44c | 44.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…0ccfbacked Over | 43c | 44.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 54c | 42.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fee…842bbacked Under | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Under | 72c | 39.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Over | 41c | 35.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 42c | 33.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 58c | 29.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Over | 41c | 27.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…7239backed Under | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6855…ba24backed Over | 42c | 25.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 42c | 24.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Under | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Under | 55c | 20.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 76c | 19.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 6.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. SenatorsHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Senators won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.