MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa6f3d4ccc7bac447eee200d08bfb28846e94e67fb499ba47663556e90fac005
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 20,035$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,035.2 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 16,086$8,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,981.8 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 8,233$4,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,131.77 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 6,304$3,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,152.13 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 5,742$2,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,866.18 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 4,826$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.62 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 4,554$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 4,099$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.98 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 4,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 3,000$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 2,754$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.03 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 2,250$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.7 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 2,034$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.1 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 2,000$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,741$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.94 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,741$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.94 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…2f33backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 1,585$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.12 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,467$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.71 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 1,203$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.52 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,150$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,121$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.04 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 1,025$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.89 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…5eefbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +60%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…ce89backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…7325backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b0…1579backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,000$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.22 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 826.8$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.96 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 771.32$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.66 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 756.21$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.25 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 712.24$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 72c | 702.76$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.24 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 698.06$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.03 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 26c | 601$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.64 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 547.01$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.23 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 477.42$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.48 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 440.6$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.3 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 370$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 312.21$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.86 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 296.88$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.47 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 271.82$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.54 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 195.21$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.51 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.47 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 176$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 166.08$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.02 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9017…4cf0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…c427backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 105$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 103$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76cb…5b2ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…1f03backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 92.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 81.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 80.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 62.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…62eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ba…c5e6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb6…d381backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 326 | 47.9%156 W · 170 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2af7…37e2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 45.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…0afabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 41.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fee…3d67backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 40.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 40.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 316 | 50.6%160 W · 156 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.