MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x470be3e0c795e1636559f768f68602c3a1dd11d313baf1dd2c4deab09b6e1130
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $371,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $484,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $371,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Over | 49c | 133,928$65,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,999.71 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 51c | 113,282$57,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,667.09 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 52c | 62,992$32,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,236.27 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 49c | 47,883$23,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,462.86 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 52c | 8,788$4,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,248.22 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Under | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 7,555$3,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,631.74 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 7,117$3,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,487.33 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 49c | 5,461$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.12 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 47c | 3,996$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.94 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Over | 49c | 3,940$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.62 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 51c | 3,896$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.88 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 50c | 3,442$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.87 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 2,600$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 49c | 2,526$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.72 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 48c | 1,688$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 50c | 1,657$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.01 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.22 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 49c | 1,584$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 51c | 1,520$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.1 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 39c | 1,212$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.22 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 1,189$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.78 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 1,186$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.14 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Over | 55c | 1,168$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.38 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 50c | 1,160$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.05 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 50c | 1,155$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.67 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 50c | 1,133$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.7 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb9…e5cbbacked Over | 50c | 1,014$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 11c | 1,011$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.17 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…c069backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…f403backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 981.78$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.89 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 52c | 883.03$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.04 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Under | 57c | 877.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.28 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 50c | 859$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.5 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 39c | 841$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.99 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 61c | 837.69$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.7 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 49c | 760.2$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.12 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 629.43$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.21 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 53c | 463.53$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.86 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 427.71$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.42 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 77c | 427$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 416.58$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.48 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 50c | 413.01$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.51 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…c15cbacked Under | 52c | 356.15$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 50c | 348.16$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.08 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 50c | 343.23$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.61 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Over | 50c | 339.97$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.15 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 50c | 331.96$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.98 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 50c | 323.38$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.03 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 50c | 304$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 40c | 281$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.73 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a48…5134backed Under | 52c | 264.15$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Under | 51c | 230$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 29c | 202.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbb…bbcbbacked Under | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…7d96backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 50c | 186.59$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.73 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb21…3138backed Under | 51c | 168$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…7f9abacked Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc344…a635backed Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 51c | 159.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e09…f7c7backed Over | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5a…8306backed Over | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a12…f0f1backed Under | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…37f9backed Under | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 48c | 145$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over | 53c | 129.96$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Under | 53c | 126.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c48…8069backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32fc…3389backed Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Under | 50c | 111.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Under | 53c | 110.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Under | 46c | 110.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 51c | 109.51$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 48c | 109.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…0bbdbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 51c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 47c | 98.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 52c | 96.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Over | 67c | 94.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a3…257bbacked Under | 52c | 89.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.