UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Chidi Njokuani vs. Carlos Leal (Welterweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x241fabab48f5df4833435bb2862475fd70da8f70ac9d81a655c2b78d2973470d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lealof Njokuani, Leal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $363,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $420,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $363,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Njokuani | 43c | 80,000$34,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,600.04 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Leal | 56c | 38,000$21,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,719.99 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Leal | 57c | 36,213$20,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,571.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Njokuani | 44c | 27,238$11,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,912.36 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…6f94backed Leal | 57c | 14,207$8,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,129.26 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Leal | 57c | 14,082$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,082.08 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Njokuani | 19c | 13,731$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.12 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Njokuani | 43c | 13,074$5,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,578.05 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Njokuani | 32c | 11,902$3,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,816.88 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Leal | 56c | 11,348$6,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,993.19 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Leal | 56c | 10,725$6,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,719.13 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Njokuani | 44c | 9,284$4,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,084.96 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Njokuani | 44c | 9,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Leal | 55c | 8,669$4,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,901.09 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Njokuani | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Njokuani | 44c | 7,699$3,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,409.73 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Leal | 56c | 7,500$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.97 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Njokuani | 38c | 5,703$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.87 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…50eabacked Leal | 57c | 4,922$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.68 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf81…80cebacked Leal | 58c | 4,763$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.37 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Leal | 56c | 4,337$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.17 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Leal | 59c | 4,199$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.54 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Leal | 57c | 3,860$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.65 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Leal | 56c | 3,761$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Njokuani | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Njokuani | 44c | 3,265$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.59 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Njokuani | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.99 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Leal | 54c | 2,777$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.28 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Njokuani | 44c | 2,775$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Leal | 56c | 2,641$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.83 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Leal | 56c | 2,626$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.58 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Leal | 56c | 2,575$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.71 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Njokuani | 45c | 2,548$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.92 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Njokuani | 16c | 2,543$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.4 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Njokuani | 14c | 2,424$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.73 | 360 | 48.3%174 W · 186 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed Njokuani | 43c | 2,336$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.59 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Njokuani | 46c | 2,303$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.38 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Njokuani | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Leal | 57c | 2,222$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Njokuani | 33c | 1,800$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.31 | 378 | 54.8%207 W · 171 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedea…8b39backed Njokuani | 8c | 1,777$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Njokuani | 44c | 1,731$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.66 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Leal | 60c | 1,666$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Leal | 70c | 1,377$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.86 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Njokuani | 44c | 1,359$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf338…38e2backed Leal | 74c | 1,357$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.9 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…6055backed Njokuani | 45c | 1,144$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.76 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Leal | 55c | 1,134$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.28 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Leal | 54c | 1,046$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.12 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Leal | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Njokuani | 43c | 962.49$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.87 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Njokuani | 26c | 903$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Leal | 68c | 880$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.6 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Njokuani | 43c | 874.42$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725d…e49abacked Njokuani | 23c | 789.36$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Leal | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Njokuani | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Njokuani | 38c | 654.47$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.79 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Leal | 75c | 640.58$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.43 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Njokuani | 33c | 631$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.57 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Njokuani | 22c | 617.65$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.14 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…f147backed Njokuani | 46c | 610$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…6024backed Leal | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Leal | 58c | 586.21$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.21 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Njokuani | 44c | 549.99$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.5 | 367 | 55.3%203 W · 164 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Njokuani | 43c | 519.4$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.34 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Njokuani | 45c | 509$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.05 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…5130backed Leal | 60c | 503$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Njokuani | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fd…abf9backed Njokuani | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Leal | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Njokuani | 47c | 478.97$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.31 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Njokuani | 25c | 478.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Njokuani | 43c | 470$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.77 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Njokuani | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Njokuani | 44c | 454$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.76 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed Njokuani | 44c | 450$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7056…a5d3backed Leal | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Leal | 71c | 440$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Njokuani | 23c | 403$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Leal | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Njokuani | 8c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Njokuani | 44c | 393.88$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.91 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Njokuani | 14c | 370.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…b132backed Njokuani | 43c | 360.09$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Njokuani | 16c | 357.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a9…be15backed Njokuani | 42c | 352.77$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e5…3c33backed Njokuani | 40c | 352.33$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Leal | 57c | 352.3$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.49 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…4c69backed Njokuani | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Njokuani | 44c | 327.27$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Njokuani | 45c | 313.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Njokuani | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x676b…5bc3backed Njokuani | 44c | 297.73$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Leal | 71c | 292.87$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Njokuani | 44c | 289.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.59 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…503abacked Leal | 55c | 270$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Njokuani | 45c | 267.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.35 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Njokuani | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Njokuani | 15c | 241.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Chidi Njokuani vs. Carlos Leal (Welterweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.