TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UCF Knights vs. BYU Cougars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UCF Knightsof UCF Knights, BYU Cougars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$224,221
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$239,398

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,221 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xea22…747abacked BYU Cougars0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024121.2%51 W · 190 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+299%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed BYU Cougars0c19,999$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20287.1%2 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick7cpaid-79.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked BYU Cougars6c15,993$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.625536.4%20 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked UCF Knights12c15,991$1,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,072.189645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked BYU Cougars5c13,184$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.1236535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked BYU Cougars24c10,350$2,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,484.043548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed BYU Cougars31c8,718$2,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,723.7622043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed UCF Knights48c6,065$2,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,140.315,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed UCF Knights71c5,976$4,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,726.771,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd3…0d61backed UCF Knights32c5,900$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,012.394544.4%20 W · 25 L-6.6wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-23.1%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked UCF Knights15c4,310$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,648.6937441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked BYU Cougars42c3,503$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.324,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed UCF Knights36c3,428$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,179.263,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked BYU Cougars70c3,270$2,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,276.594454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed BYU Cougars5c2,500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255820.7%12 W · 46 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed UCF Knights12c2,500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20021149.3%104 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5c…a5debacked UCF Knights14c1,992$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,720.4910622.6%24 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked UCF Knights49c1,863$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.734,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed BYU Cougars66c1,552$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.042,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb0…cbc9backed BYU Cougars65c1,462$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.42580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed BYU Cougars7c1,420$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6781528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed UCF Knights12c1,245$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.9314325.9%37 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed UCF Knights67c1,197$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.252,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked BYU Cougars29c1,179$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.971,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01ef…2387backed BYU Cougars18c1,090$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.1950%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed UCF Knights13c1,025$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.9523331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed BYU Cougars19c1,000$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18531646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…0a0fbacked BYU Cougars11c896.92$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.66450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed UCF Knights12c830.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.629711.3%11 W · 86 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed UCF Knights39c756$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.0593247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed UCF Knights35c745.1$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.8734943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed UCF Knights46c713.76$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.893,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed UCF Knights12c697.61$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.691,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked BYU Cougars62c588.27$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.465,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked BYU Cougars62c534.59$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.821,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked UCF Knights15c500$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42655532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked UCF Knights18c500$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4122,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed BYU Cougars42c498.23$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.1242934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a1e…21a1backed UCF Knights46c422.25$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.166566.2%43 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76ca…6a3abacked UCF Knights12c415.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.312828.6%8 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked UCF Knights47c344.97$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.831,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa005…6646backed BYU Cougars24c329$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0712540.8%51 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked UCF Knights14c299.87$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.8931537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed BYU Cougars10c298.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8553635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked UCF Knights40c289.4$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.0687047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed BYU Cougars60c251.87$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.1272248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed BYU Cougars76c236.78$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.173,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BYU Cougars7c235$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.861,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a84…7a8ebacked UCF Knights25c228.67$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.613452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed UCF Knights12c222.34$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.6614027.1%38 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa84d…74a8backed UCF Knights13c199.21$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.318444%37 W · 47 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked UCF Knights16c199.06$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.211,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked BYU Cougars18c196$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2884854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8cd…b264backed BYU Cougars47c193.85$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed UCF Knights35c162.11$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7415243.4%66 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff75…b615backed UCF Knights35c151.75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.643542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed UCF Knights49c148.71$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.972,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed BYU Cougars60c146.48$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.81,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x272a…88cfbacked UCF Knights13c134.47$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc14d…f8b4backed BYU Cougars75c132.46$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.345933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked UCF Knights18c120.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1330249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked UCF Knights13c114.92$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9822544.9%101 W · 124 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe545…5bacbacked BYU Cougars34c111.9$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2910347.6%49 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked UCF Knights38c107.59$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0540252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed UCF Knights41c100.98$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.912,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22be…e36ebacked UCF Knights13c99.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.596036.7%22 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cb5…7b3fbacked BYU Cougars35c99.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x096a…0074backed BYU Cougars12c99.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9610846.3%50 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked BYU Cougars12c99.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.961,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked BYU Cougars54c95$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5170349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c9…cf27backed BYU Cougars60c82.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.586555.4%36 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae9…5b36backed UCF Knights60c78.39$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.365141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed UCF Knights15c66.7$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.73520%7 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c4…d7dfbacked UCF Knights15c66.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6717634.7%61 W · 115 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed UCF Knights15c66.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6725230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed UCF Knights51c59.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.521,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed UCF Knights61c59.5$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2127358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…49d2backed BYU Cougars29c43.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.444151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05f0…6ab9backed BYU Cougars62c40.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.792065%13 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed BYU Cougars56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.457655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed UCF Knights37c36.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0830945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed BYU Cougars34c31.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.551,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xec8d…453dbacked UCF Knights55c29.58$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.329849%48 W · 50 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5344…630ebacked BYU Cougars42c26.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8270%0 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked UCF Knights65c22.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.017751.9%40 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6753…b37dbacked UCF Knights70c17.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+41.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.