Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UCF Knights vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 163.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4cca4e151cbf7ca237a9edfe37cca8483067389da29cf1a0cd7762f263d7abd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 55c | 39,831$21,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,767.2 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 26,513$11,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,603.2 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 45c | 10,910$4,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000.17 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 56c | 10,550$5,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,921.29 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 45c | 5,249$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,887.02 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 45c | 2,082$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.99 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 2,056$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.3 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Over | 50c | 1,983$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.86 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over | 44c | 1,053$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.62 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 901.61$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.33 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 56c | 799.99$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 56c | 778.9$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.36 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 45c | 660.89$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.49 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 45c | 618.23$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.03 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 45c | 594.8$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.14 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 56c | 531.1$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.41 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 45c | 440.59$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.33 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 45c | 436.19$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.9 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 56c | 396.55$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.07 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 45c | 220.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.16 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 55c | 183$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 56c | 177.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 57c | 175.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Under | 56c | 151.09$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.61 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Over | 45c | 110.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.58 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 45c | 110.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.58 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…f968backed Over | 44c | 67.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 54c | 48.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…24b8backed Over | 44c | 36.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 66c | 34.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…7cfabacked Over | 46c | 32.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 30.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…5d05backed Under | 56c | 28.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 56c | 26.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UCF Knights vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 163.5this page
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-11.5)UCF Knights won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-12.5)UCF Knights won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-13.5)UCF Knights won
- UCF Knights vs. BYU CougarsUCF Knights won
- UCF Knights vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 161.5Over won
- UCF Knights vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 162.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.