Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UCF Knights vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 162.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f43a4609baf826ca078b1036d64a058410529d14ef64d30b7d0f242e52877e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 52c | 21,851$11,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,463.46 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 9,918$4,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,170.43 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 48c | 9,096$4,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,712.3 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Over | 47c | 5,019$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.02 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 53c | 2,100$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 47c | 2,093$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.06 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 1,519$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.26 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 50c | 1,437$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.66 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Under | 51c | 1,006$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.12 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Under | 51c | 905.51$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.81 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 47c | 793.03$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.3 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 780.71$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.98 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 43c | 769.99$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.39 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 54c | 550.73$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.39 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…d35fbacked Over | 53c | 499.95$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 53c | 429.76$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.72 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 48c | 389.57$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.57 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 25c | 349.97$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.34 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Over | 75c | 342.74$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 47c | 218.94$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.38 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 47c | 105.77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 93.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 81.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 47c | 63.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked Over | 50c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…fb86backed Under | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Over | 53c | 26.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Under | 54c | 24.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Under | 52c | 22.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 44c | 22.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Over | 49c | 22.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UCF Knights vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 162.5this page
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-11.5)UCF Knights won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-12.5)UCF Knights won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-13.5)UCF Knights won
- UCF Knights vs. BYU CougarsUCF Knights won
- UCF Knights vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 161.5Over won
- UCF Knights vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 163.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.