Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UCF Knights vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 161.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x770196b4c746daa9cb2ab601440dfdf878e66bd926879affd6cd74fff8bf7969
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 48c | 17,878$8,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,356.41 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 50c | 8,210$4,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,101.59 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 6,467$3,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,382.3 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 48c | 1,489$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.05 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 47c | 1,278$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.55 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 881.37$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.42 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Under | 47c | 389.57$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.1 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 50c | 298.25$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.13 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 46c | 287.06$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.05 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 179.75$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.65 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 51c | 160.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 51c | 102.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Over | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 50c | 64.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Under | 47c | 51.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Under | 50c | 49.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Under | 47c | 42.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 46c | 36.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 51c | 33.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 49c | 30.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Under | 48c | 29.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Under | 51c | 27.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cbd5backed Under | 48c | 25.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 52c | 22.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UCF Knights vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 161.5this page
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-11.5)UCF Knights won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-12.5)UCF Knights won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-13.5)UCF Knights won
- UCF Knights vs. BYU CougarsUCF Knights won
- UCF Knights vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 162.5Over won
- UCF Knights vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 163.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.