MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa77e373bb490790796c0aac35e7f521e37319042a90bbe228dd9e58551a42fb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Arizona Diamondbacks, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $237,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $248,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked New York Mets | 44c | 21,325$9,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,417.52 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed New York Mets | 55c | 18,027$9,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,914.79 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 16,560$7,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,124.15 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 13,878$6,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,549.5 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 10,855$4,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,861.81 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 10,130$4,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,571.42 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked New York Mets | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed New York Mets | 5c | 6,445$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.14 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 5,795$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,303.04 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 5,288$3,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.23 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Mets | 26c | 5,158$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.45 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 4,723$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.09 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked New York Mets | 54c | 4,595$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.4 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked New York Mets | 50c | 4,000$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.98 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…f841backed New York Mets | 59c | 3,872$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.31 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 3,285$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.49 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked New York Mets | 55c | 2,735$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.05 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed New York Mets | 12c | 2,285$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.54 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed New York Mets | 56c | 2,276$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.72 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 72c | 2,222$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.03 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked New York Mets | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed New York Mets | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed New York Mets | 6c | 1,893$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 54c | 1,756$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.04 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked New York Mets | 56c | 1,565$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.24 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93e7…cc0cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,451$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked New York Mets | 6c | 1,145$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.69 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed New York Mets | 55c | 1,124$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.02 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked New York Mets | 12c | 1,098$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.59 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed New York Mets | 7c | 1,083$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked New York Mets | 57c | 1,002$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.68 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed New York Mets | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.06 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec4c…f5bdbacked New York Mets | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c55…7ef8backed New York Mets | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 55c | 991.62$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.1 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5001…e597backed New York Mets | 55c | 981.01$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked New York Mets | 11c | 965.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.71 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 894$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.46 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 20c | 750.65$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.94 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x840e…b9edbacked New York Mets | 8c | 730.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed New York Mets | 25c | 727.47$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.63 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 669.85$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.51 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed New York Mets | 48c | 658.8$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.86 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 75c | 631.44$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.02 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed New York Mets | 5c | 598.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…15b9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 586.32$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.8 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 531$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.29 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed New York Mets | 56c | 504.32$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.42 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 504.25$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.29 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed New York Mets | 6c | 499.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 436.22$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.75 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked New York Mets | 56c | 411.83$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.63 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed New York Mets | 9c | 407.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked New York Mets | 7c | 387.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 370.05$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.23 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked New York Mets | 56c | 347.05$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.73 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed New York Mets | 56c | 344.65$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.01 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Mets | 9c | 343.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked New York Mets | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed New York Mets | 6c | 292.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 290.04$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.93 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed New York Mets | 56c | 288.19$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.38 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…010cbacked New York Mets | 8c | 285.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed New York Mets | 57c | 273.46$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.87 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6970…ef65backed New York Mets | 7c | 269.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 262.61$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.46 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 257.45$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.75 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed New York Mets | 47c | 252.33$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.59 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…8be6backed New York Mets | 8c | 246.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed New York Mets | 9c | 236.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c4…2d95backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 235.56$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed New York Mets | 10c | 232.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked New York Mets | 56c | 231.72$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.76 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked New York Mets | 56c | 231.72$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.76 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked New York Mets | 56c | 231.72$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.76 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…32b0backed New York Mets | 56c | 229.49$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -6.2wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 221.39$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.98 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 219.96$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.18 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 208.2$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.74 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked New York Mets | 10c | 203.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked New York Mets | 55c | 200.01$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked New York Mets | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 218 | 51.4%112 W · 106 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…6146backed New York Mets | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed New York Mets | 54c | 199.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.89 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed New York Mets | 30c | 191.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 190$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.43 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed New York Mets | 12c | 189.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 185.03$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.77 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Mets | 7c | 170.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked New York Mets | 56c | 163.56$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 406 | 48.5%197 W · 209 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked New York Mets | 9c | 160.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…8aa0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 159.55$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.09 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked New York Mets | 57c | 158.42$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.65 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…8444backed New York Mets | 11c | 151.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 148.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.87 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked New York Mets | 57c | 145.7$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed New York Mets | 57c | 145.14$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.53 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed New York Mets | 55c | 127$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked New York Mets | 56c | 123.83$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Metsthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.