NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d4a301fb891b5f7118a8f37601d21e41c496e0ffe572b9909a1d0e5a0fccb99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Rockets, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $580,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $580,134 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 541 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd64…7445backed Pelicans | 53c | 66,912$35,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,448.6 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…f044backed Pelicans | 53c | 35,268$18,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,576.03 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62e9…0e01backed Pelicans | 53c | 32,710$17,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,373.73 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…3e08backed Rockets | 47c | 32,318$15,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,189.46 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +61%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…528ebacked Pelicans | 53c | 30,943$16,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,543.22 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9af6…dcfdbacked Rockets | 47c | 29,647$13,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,934.09 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7576…cb8abacked Pelicans | 53c | 29,348$15,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,793.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffeb…c48abacked Rockets | 47c | 27,521$12,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,934.87 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73ca…8ac1backed Pelicans | 53c | 25,950$13,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,196.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…3136backed Rockets | 47c | 24,749$11,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,632.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44e9…04b7backed Rockets | 47c | 24,706$11,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,611.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x719b…0b07backed Pelicans | 53c | 24,074$12,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,314.78 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…9b8dbacked Rockets | 47c | 22,839$10,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,734.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77c…6630backed Rockets | 47c | 19,192$9,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,019.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6da…8286backed Rockets | 47c | 18,802$8,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,836.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa729…9326backed Rockets | 47c | 18,420$8,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,657 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a54…d7c6backed Pelicans | 53c | 16,528$8,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,768.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1280backed Rockets | 47c | 16,085$7,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,559.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af4…c4f3backed Pelicans | 53c | 15,424$8,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,249.28 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…881cbacked Rockets | 47c | 15,419$7,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,246.93 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…0f03backed Pelicans | 53c | 15,302$8,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,191.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b8…679dbacked Pelicans | 53c | 13,004$6,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,111.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffb…3d68backed Rockets | 47c | 10,464$4,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,918.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac2e…8bdbbacked Rockets | 47c | 10,039$4,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,718.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…5f7ebacked Rockets | 47c | 9,955$4,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,678.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…dff8backed Rockets | 47c | 6,757$3,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,175.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28d7…02b8backed Rockets | 47c | 6,625$3,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920c…4af5backed Rockets | 47c | 6,311$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6528…2498backed Rockets | 47c | 6,115$2,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,874.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d62…8911backed Pelicans | 53c | 5,983$3,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…dcb9backed Rockets | 47c | 5,643$2,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd4…b767backed Pelicans | 53c | 5,558$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6274…fbeebacked Rockets | 47c | 5,251$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…c417backed Rockets | 47c | 5,202$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…748bbacked Rockets | 47c | 5,191$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb6…0eaabacked Rockets | 47c | 5,109$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…9189backed Rockets | 47c | 5,093$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…4d15backed Rockets | 47c | 5,051$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Pelicans | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.94 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8212…e86ebacked Rockets | 47c | 4,983$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0377…9e70backed Rockets | 47c | 4,969$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad98…53ccbacked Rockets | 47c | 4,939$2,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Pelicans | 56c | 4,872$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.6 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf195…ff1dbacked Rockets | 47c | 4,847$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa00…3ca7backed Rockets | 47c | 4,834$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1613…c43dbacked Rockets | 47c | 4,787$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9070…cd61backed Rockets | 47c | 4,766$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff6…a6c0backed Rockets | 47c | 4,726$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…02f6backed Pelicans | 53c | 4,701$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ef…3b22backed Pelicans | 53c | 4,678$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…01e7backed Rockets | 47c | 4,651$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906d…ce17backed Pelicans | 53c | 4,630$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x893d…10a6backed Pelicans | 53c | 4,625$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc04…6be0backed Pelicans | 53c | 4,579$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbef…6a89backed Pelicans | 53c | 4,522$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.34 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d68…41dabacked Rockets | 47c | 4,521$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fb…80ddbacked Pelicans | 53c | 4,498$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…27cebacked Rockets | 47c | 4,496$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecf…225abacked Rockets | 47c | 4,492$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa066…f8d8backed Rockets | 47c | 4,475$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc30e…1656backed Pelicans | 53c | 4,452$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d81…a42abacked Rockets | 47c | 4,447$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976b…5b93backed Rockets | 47c | 4,423$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x386a…3ea0backed Rockets | 47c | 4,422$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…c0a2backed Pelicans | 53c | 4,419$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f0…8b05backed Pelicans | 53c | 4,415$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2acb…0fd6backed Pelicans | 53c | 4,404$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Rockets | 48c | 4,376$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3617…c7b8backed Rockets | 47c | 4,330$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b49…4d86backed Pelicans | 53c | 4,285$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Pelicans | 55c | 4,265$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.01 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5496…dd84backed Pelicans | 53c | 4,262$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3180…b045backed Pelicans | 53c | 4,245$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ea…f377backed Rockets | 47c | 4,179$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5078…542abacked Rockets | 47c | 4,177$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…ec4abacked Pelicans | 53c | 4,149$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc424…b66bbacked Pelicans | 53c | 4,093$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ca…6fb3backed Rockets | 47c | 4,030$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb180…7285backed Pelicans | 53c | 3,994$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa062…56afbacked Pelicans | 53c | 3,951$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.97 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88b7…b871backed Pelicans | 53c | 3,925$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…b879backed Pelicans | 53c | 3,868$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe0…e6c6backed Pelicans | 53c | 3,851$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd873…935dbacked Rockets | 47c | 3,849$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb449…ad68backed Pelicans | 53c | 3,728$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…9b9ebacked Pelicans | 53c | 3,726$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…6fe4backed Pelicans | 53c | 3,710$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…08c1backed Pelicans | 53c | 3,464$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans | 56c | 3,439$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.12 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 45c | 3,214$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c8…56aebacked Pelicans | 53c | 3,183$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c3…e53ebacked Pelicans | 53c | 3,147$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 46c | 3,123$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.38 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ce…3ba5backed Pelicans | 53c | 3,064$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2a…7103backed Pelicans | 53c | 3,057$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.79 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff9c…42f2backed Pelicans | 53c | 3,053$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.91 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…e665backed Pelicans | 53c | 2,936$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc1…185fbacked Rockets | 47c | 2,932$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d80…8a9bbacked Pelicans | 53c | 2,925$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a10…2c53backed Rockets | 47c | 2,911$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. RocketsRockets won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Pelicans won
- Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.