NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf952bfa3d92384b9b91a21acf7ffca2f2ec94fe3bce08c0c24a308ce7b350dce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,475 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 45c | 4,134$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.79 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 3,323$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.51 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…fa92backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 1,729$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.67 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 55c | 1,714$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.7 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 50c | 653.14$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.57 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Over | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 50c | 504$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.88 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 46c | 499$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.46 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 80c | 427.24$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 54c | 392$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.72 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 391.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.68 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…f700backed Over | 56c | 188.13$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 46c | 177.29$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.74 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 56c | 174.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.75 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8285…73eebacked Under | 46c | 159$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 51c | 137.51$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.73 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 50c | 122.45$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c03…1c9fbacked Under | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 94.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…ec19backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 89.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Under | 45c | 87.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…5b36backed Over | 56c | 74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 54c | 71.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Under | 46c | 71.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 68c | 70.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 43c | 67.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Over | 20c | 64.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 37c | 61.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 49c | 60.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Over | 53c | 56.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a66…707fbacked Over | 56c | 56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc00c…ddc2backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…da99backed Over | 32c | 44.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 55c | 43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 45c | 41.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 35c | 39.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…1965backed Under | 49c | 29.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…994bbacked Over | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Under | 43c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Under | 46c | 27.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 55c | 27.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Under | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…5ca7backed Under | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 44c | 23.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Over | 52c | 20.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf2…fa7bbacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. RocketsRockets won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Pelicans won
- Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.