NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe70bd96c41b8f2d3eaec21183c51b18d46ecbc3632fdd1652d3a6e433e647fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,499 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Over | 53c | 4,577$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.38 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.41 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 1,452$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.39 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 54c | 447$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.04 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 250.54$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.95 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Under | 47c | 246.73$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.77 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 51c | 236.37$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.25 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 44c | 230$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 47c | 212.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.81 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 184.72$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.52 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 49c | 181.1$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.36 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b59…5443backed Under | 43c | 154$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…865fbacked Under | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…832cbacked Under | 44c | 148$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 59c | 145.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.14 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 50c | 128$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa729…9326backed Over | 56c | 123$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 115.45$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c03…1c9fbacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 35c | 69.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f2…7985backed Over | 59c | 66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…074abacked Over | 59c | 63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1779…2305backed Over | 58c | 61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 43c | 58.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b1…3676backed Over | 59c | 55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 41c | 53.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 43c | 48.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 40c | 45.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…f4f8backed Over | 60c | 45.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 43.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 43c | 40.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Under | 44c | 40.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 40.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb1…6b78backed Over | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…3fcfbacked Over | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Over | 53c | 34.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 45c | 32.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…4298backed Over | 59c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ad…12a5backed Over | 59c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 47c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…eecdbacked Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 42c | 24.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 24.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 59c | 23.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…d03abacked Over | 58c | 23.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168d…c30abacked Over | 56c | 22.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48bb…d62fbacked Over | 58c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…5392backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 51c | 19.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…642dbacked Over | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…5a4fbacked Under | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. RocketsRockets won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Pelicans won
- Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.