NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc592e2217994108b59095ae2c869f4817fa8649cda597b8d27054ec3074073dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Rockets, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,686 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Pelicans | 54c | 67,912$36,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,411.74 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Rockets | 47c | 30,642$14,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,518.84 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Pelicans | 52c | 22,984$11,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,085.31 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Rockets | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 48c | 13,694$6,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,636.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pelicans | 50c | 10,708$5,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,354.07 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Pelicans | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Rockets | 47c | 5,557$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,611.79 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 49c | 4,821$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.56 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Rockets | 48c | 4,356$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.47 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rockets | 48c | 3,951$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.78 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x598a…25c8backed Rockets | 51c | 3,027$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Pelicans | 53c | 2,849$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.06 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Rockets | 51c | 2,592$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.09 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Pelicans | 49c | 2,518$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.37 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…8858backed Pelicans | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…dbddbacked Rockets | 51c | 2,424$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x615a…969fbacked Pelicans | 49c | 2,422$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets | 50c | 2,403$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.55 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6965…4ab9backed Pelicans | 49c | 2,369$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e12…12cabacked Rockets | 51c | 2,333$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…60afbacked Rockets | 51c | 2,123$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets | 47c | 2,105$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.13 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc943…7890backed Pelicans | 49c | 2,100$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Pelicans | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf94d…24d1backed Pelicans | 49c | 2,033$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Rockets | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.98 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…9026backed Pelicans | 49c | 1,966$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Pelicans | 52c | 1,879$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.05 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Rockets | 49c | 1,856$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.12 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Rockets | 51c | 1,845$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 192 | 45.3%87 W · 105 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…fc03backed Rockets | 51c | 1,823$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Pelicans | 49c | 1,673$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.42 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d95…1e59backed Rockets | 51c | 1,660$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 49c | 1,474$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.64 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Rockets | 47c | 1,430$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.1 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 49c | 1,323$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.38 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Pelicans | 53c | 1,314$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.58 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Pelicans | 52c | 1,209$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Pelicans | 49c | 1,156$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.77 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Rockets | 53c | 1,139$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans | 53c | 1,133$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.51 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pelicans | 52c | 1,080$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.34 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Pelicans | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Pelicans | 49c | 832.65$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.65 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rockets | 48c | 826.88$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.88 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Pelicans | 49c | 713.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.14 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Rockets | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans | 53c | 589$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.83 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Pelicans | 48c | 583.96$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.66 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Rockets | 52c | 554.28$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.63 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Rockets | 48c | 480$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Pelicans | 49c | 441.63$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.23 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Pelicans | 48c | 440.43$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.02 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Pelicans | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Rockets | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Rockets | 48c | 396$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.59 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9021…0c62backed Pelicans | 51c | 393.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.18 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Rockets | 48c | 368.75$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Rockets | 46c | 305.58$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.57 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Pelicans | 52c | 301$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.48 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans | 53c | 294.85$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.64 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rockets | 49c | 293.11$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.54 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Pelicans | 49c | 252.31$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.68 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Pelicans | 53c | 234.04$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Rockets | 51c | 223.44$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.97 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Rockets | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Pelicans | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pelicans | 54c | 200.72$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.64 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Rockets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0c…160cbacked Rockets | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Rockets | 47c | 195.61$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.69 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Rockets | 50c | 195.31$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.57 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Rockets | 48c | 195$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Pelicans | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Rockets | 48c | 177.44$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.17 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Rockets | 48c | 177.08$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Rockets | 47c | 159.72$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rockets | 48c | 146$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans | 52c | 139.39$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.91 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed Rockets | 47c | 130$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Pelicans | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Rockets | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Rockets | 51c | 113.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Rockets | 56c | 112.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…3ef0backed Rockets | 53c | 101.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Pelicans | 50c | 100.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Pelicans | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Rockets | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Rockets | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Pelicans | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Rockets | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 298 | 44%131 W · 167 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd590…5eeebacked Rockets | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Pelicans | 49c | 96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Pelicans | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Pelicans | 53c | 94.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Pelicans | 53c | 94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a5…328ebacked Pelicans | 49c | 93.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Pelicans | 64c | 92.28$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. RocketsRockets won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Pelicans won
- Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.