Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c2d3facf1741cc3976f414b7e37214759661e8831755992615da25d5faee7dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas Jayhawksof Kansas Jayhawks, Oklahoma State Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.99 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Kansas Jayhawks | 54c | 5,260$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.75 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb44f…8c20backed Kansas Jayhawks | 55c | 1,997$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.48 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 54c | 1,123$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.84 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Kansas Jayhawks | 53c | 561.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.81 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Kansas Jayhawks | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Kansas Jayhawks | 54c | 296.85$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.55 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Kansas Jayhawks | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 46c | 145.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 45c | 95.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Kansas Jayhawks | 55c | 91.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…1e06backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 45c | 70.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Kansas Jayhawks | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 45c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Kansas Jayhawks | 55c | 47.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Kansas Jayhawks | 53c | 43.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 54c | 38.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Kansas Jayhawks | 53c | 37.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 47c | 32.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…6ab9backed Kansas Jayhawks | 55c | 23.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-5.5)this page
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Oklahoma State CowboysKansas Jayhawks won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 155.5Under won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 156.5Under won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 158.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-6.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.