Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 156.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x829d1a03153e321975e6ef2395f9acda5f63ab938de73e951a8af4b737ed3daf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 51c | 7,600$3,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,875.98 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 3,424$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.33 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 816$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.16 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 591.93$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.64 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Under | 49c | 583.67$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.67 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 52c | 399.95$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.97 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 51c | 392$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.08 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 46c | 315$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 210.15$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.28 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Over | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 45c | 199.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.92 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 185.18$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 49c | 178.44$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 48c | 118.25$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Under | 49c | 94.29$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Over | 55c | 85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 31c | 79.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Under | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +11.5wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 49c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 43c | 55.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 43c | 50.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…3efdbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Over | 51c | 34.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5442…2f88backed Over | 57c | 34.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 60c | 33.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 29.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 48c | 23.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Over | 52c | 22.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Over | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…5ebbbacked Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 156.5this page
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Oklahoma State CowboysKansas Jayhawks won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 155.5Under won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 158.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-5.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-6.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.