Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba904f9af4a4926f8faa32bd9c9a8bcbe6bb421468b0ed838c2ebe14f9c3ba58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas Jayhawksof Kansas Jayhawks, Oklahoma State Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 51c | 21,347$10,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,885.81 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 18,326$8,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,399.8 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.98 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 6,053$2,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,086.4 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 5,247$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.93 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 4,756$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.43 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 3,792$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.41 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 3,192$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.84 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.94 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.85 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 2,222$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.22 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 50c | 2,075$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.73 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 1,938$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.62 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Kansas Jayhawks | 48c | 1,782$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.85 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 52c | 1,043$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 501$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.51 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 224.08$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.28 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…b62cbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 51c | 196$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…f426backed Kansas Jayhawks | 52c | 192.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 189.01$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.4 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 49c | 155$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 48c | 118.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff0…2e7fbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 51c | 74.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kansas Jayhawks | 53c | 46.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 52c | 45.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd85d…01c1backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 52c | 39.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9215…625cbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 39.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 52c | 31.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 30.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5de…a312backed Kansas Jayhawks | 52c | 21.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 20.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…7a43backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-6.5)this page
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Oklahoma State CowboysKansas Jayhawks won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 155.5Under won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 156.5Under won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 158.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-5.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.