TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Atlanta Bravesof Cleveland Guardians, Atlanta Braves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,652
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,898

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,652 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe790…eadcbacked Atlanta Braves57c12,599$7,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,443.7421656.5%122 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians44c11,671$5,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,135.451,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Atlanta Braves56c11,298$6,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,971.0360451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Cleveland Guardians44c6,990$3,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,075.5327452.6%144 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fef…a76ebacked Atlanta Braves30c6,067$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,247.131250%6 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians68c5,360$3,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,625.4710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Atlanta Braves56c4,346$2,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.432250%11 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Atlanta Braves56c3,763$2,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.7338148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3205,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47bc…9504backed Atlanta Braves55c2,836$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.076653%35 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Braves58c2,550$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.186,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Cleveland Guardians45c2,329$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.411,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0140…9510backed Cleveland Guardians42c2,298$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.25550.9%28 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Atlanta Braves56c2,142$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.482,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Atlanta Braves64c2,070$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.042,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians44c1,995$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.751,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Cleveland Guardians31c1,715$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.4629948.8%146 W · 153 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians42c1,558$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.629,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Cleveland Guardians44c1,502$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.8411554.8%63 W · 52 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians48c1,314$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.078,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Atlanta Braves60c1,224$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.736649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves52c1,211$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.6512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cleveland Guardians44c1,114$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9632348.9%158 W · 165 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Atlanta Braves56c989.13$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.464,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Cleveland Guardians44c988.36$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.8840348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Atlanta Braves79c988.17$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.9768769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Cleveland Guardians47c879.32$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.0860941.4%252 W · 357 L-22.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9af…d013backed Cleveland Guardians40c867.72$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.29540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Atlanta Braves56c865.82$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.961,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Atlanta Braves64c841.75$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.541,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Atlanta Braves56c840.56$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.8527451.8%142 W · 132 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Cleveland Guardians40c778.12$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.2510842.6%46 W · 62 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Cleveland Guardians44c697.9$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.0767849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Cleveland Guardians45c631.45$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.1572648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf15f…a199backed Cleveland Guardians4c615.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.467957%45 W · 34 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0833…bc88backed Cleveland Guardians50c612.95$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.86157.4%35 W · 26 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Atlanta Braves58c600.5$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.1750860.2%306 W · 202 L+29.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Cleveland Guardians2c579.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.31,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Braves69c572.28$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.785,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Atlanta Braves77c555.88$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.061,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Cleveland Guardians44c549.09$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.620848.1%100 W · 108 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Cleveland Guardians43c521.35$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.761,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Cleveland Guardians44c505.16$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.2712850%64 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves56c500.04$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.026,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Cleveland Guardians44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22085952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Cleveland Guardians32c494.07$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.698643%37 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Cleveland Guardians44c439.71$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.471,05347.3%498 W · 555 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Cleveland Guardians44c439.27$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2848354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Atlanta Braves57c427.28$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.7394034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Cleveland Guardians33c403.24$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.0210338.8%40 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Cleveland Guardians44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17622851.3%117 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Cleveland Guardians43c370.3$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.421,27743.1%550 W · 727 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Atlanta Braves63c358.31$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.5155464.1%355 W · 199 L+63.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Atlanta Braves56c357.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1430844.2%136 W · 172 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Cleveland Guardians32c329.4$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4155541.4%230 W · 325 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Cleveland Guardians37c313.01$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.182,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Cleveland Guardians35c300.82$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.751,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Cleveland Guardians44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1322,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Atlanta Braves66c296.85$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9381257.3%465 W · 347 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Cleveland Guardians44c295.43$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9927351.3%140 W · 133 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32de…ce27backed Cleveland Guardians43c295$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.263644.7%284 W · 352 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Cleveland Guardians43c279.96$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.981,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Atlanta Braves60c268.89$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2265050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c7b…9c3abacked Atlanta Braves56c260.79$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.753145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a2…3c41backed Atlanta Braves56c259.48$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.1715857%90 W · 68 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Cleveland Guardians43c248.21$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7341051.7%212 W · 198 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Atlanta Braves57c238.54$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9935446%163 W · 191 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Cleveland Guardians41c237.08$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.250751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Atlanta Braves58c223.23$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7620351.7%105 W · 98 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5579…c1febacked Cleveland Guardians44c220.7$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55af…6a1bbacked Cleveland Guardians44c220$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.836345.7%166 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked Atlanta Braves56c213.22$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8219951.8%103 W · 96 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Atlanta Braves60c202.2$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5278649.1%386 W · 400 L+3.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Cleveland Guardians69c202.14$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.044,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Cleveland Guardians46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9244745.6%204 W · 243 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Cleveland Guardians36c199.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7234145.2%154 W · 187 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Atlanta Braves57c199.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9969351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Cleveland Guardians43c199.98$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.993,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Cleveland Guardians44c197.67$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9841549.2%204 W · 211 L+22.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3735…3d9dbacked Cleveland Guardians45c197.27$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.774548.9%22 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7988…a57ebacked Atlanta Braves33c188.01$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.182128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid+3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Cleveland Guardians40c181.04$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5611751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Cleveland Guardians51c178.82$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.228350.2%142 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Cleveland Guardians40c174.37$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.436758.2%39 W · 28 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed Atlanta Braves56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.51752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ff…9d91backed Atlanta Braves56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.520443.1%88 W · 116 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Atlanta Braves57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4918048.3%87 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffae…adaebacked Cleveland Guardians44c160.33$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5558943.1%254 W · 335 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c97…bcc8backed Cleveland Guardians43c159.83$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.33837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Cleveland Guardians43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.539850.3%200 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Atlanta Braves60c149$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.646239.6%183 W · 279 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Atlanta Braves56c148.9$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.511,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b4a…3647backed Atlanta Braves56c148.27$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.242040%8 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Cleveland Guardians43c146.97$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.244643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Cleveland Guardians45c145.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.278336.1%30 W · 53 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Cleveland Guardians55c144.81$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.941,36754.3%742 W · 625 L+16.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Cleveland Guardians44c144.3$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.492,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Cleveland Guardians41c138.02$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.211,14142.9%490 W · 651 L-37.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Cleveland Guardians44c137.39$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.452,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5668…eababacked Atlanta Braves57c136.73$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.798351.8%43 W · 40 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.